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New Pipelines Will Boost Kinder Morgan's Earnings +43% This Year

By Carla Pasternak
Editor, High-Yield Investing
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Published:  September 29, 2008

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE: KMP, $53.64) is one of the largest pipeline and terminal operators in the country. It's the largest independent operator of pipelines that transport refined petroleum products (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and natural gas liquids). It's also is a major shipper of coal, natural gas and carbon dioxide (the latter of which is used to recover crude oil from older fields). A growing portion of the business generates fee-based income that reduces KMP's exposure to commodity price swings and provides predictable cash flow.

Formed in 1992, KMP is structured as a publicly traded master limited partnership (MLP). It's backed by pipeline energy giant Knight, which holds a 13.9% interest. (Knight was formerly Kinder Morgan Inc., which was privatized last year). Kinder Morgan Management (NYSE: KMR) acts as general partner and manager.

Dividend: As an MLP, Kinder Morgan doesn't pay corporate income taxes but instead passes along most of its taxable income as well as cash flow to shareholders (known as "partners"). Over the past decade, the distribution has increased about +17% a year, in line with rising income.

And while other companies were slashing their dividends this past year, KMP's management hiked the quarterly payout +16.5% to $0.99 per share. Further dividend increases are slated for the coming quarters, as management told shareholders in the second quarter report that it expects to declare cash distributions of more than $4.02 per unit for 2008. That gives the shares a minimum yield of 7.5% of today's price ($4.02/$53.64).

The 2007 payout of $3.39 per share was covered by distributable cash flow of $3.65 per share, giving a comfortable payout ratio of 93%.

Because of certain tax rules on distributions, MLPs like KMP are best held outside a tax-deferred IRA type of account. You can learn more about the tax implications at our online financial dictionary.

Performance: Driven by a series of acquisitions and internal development projects, KMP's cash flow has grown an average +14% annually over the past three years. During the first half of this year, high commodity prices combined with a sluggish economy reduced demand for petroleum products and the volume of products shipped through KMP's pipelines.

However, tariff increases and fee-based businesses helped the company weather a challenging environment and generate an impressive +46% increase in distributable cash over the year-ago period.

Outlook: Since 2005, KMP has had three new pipeline joint ventures in the works. All three are slated for completion next year. They're already fully subscribed with long-term contracts from multiple shippers and should substantially boost the company's distributable cash flow per share and distributions for years to come.

The Rockies Express Pipeline will be one of the largest natural gas pipelines in North America and allow KMP to benefit from growing natural gas production in the Rocky Mountain region. The Louisiana Pipeline will provide access to new supplies of increasingly significant imported liquefied natural gas. And the Midcontinent Express Pipeline will carry natural gas from the prolific basins in Oklahoma to Alabama and Texas. The substantial cash generated by these projects should allow KMP shareholders to enjoy a still healthy level of dividend growth. 

Segments of these projects are already completed and, together with recent acquisitions, are expected to contribute to earnings growth of about +43% this year and another +11% in 2009.

Action to Take -->  KMP is a proven dividend grower in a tough economic environment, making it a solid long-term investment for investors seeking a secure income stream.


Carla Pasternak
Editor
High-Yield Investing
http://www.StreetAuthority.com

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