|
|

|
| Siebert
Financial (SIEB) -- An Undervalued Stock and Potential Acquisition
Target |
Published: October 25, 2005
-------------------------------------
Siebert Financial (SIEB, $2.54)
-------------------------------------
Siebert
Financial (SIEB)
Sector = Financial
Industry = Investment Brokerage
Market Cap. = $56.3 million
Enterprise Value = $24.5 million
2004 Revenues = $28.1 million
2004 Gross Profit = $23.9 million
2004 Revenue Growth = +13.8%
Insider Ownership = 90.0%
Institutional Ownership = 2.2%
Insider Activity (ttm) = Neutral
Enterprise Value/EBITDA = N/A |
Siebert is a well-known
discount broker, offering retail investors a comprehensive online
platform to conduct research and execute stock trades at competitive
prices. The company also maintains a broad inventory of fixed income
securities and markets a full-suite of retirement and college funding
accounts. Through its Siebert fundexchange program, clients also have
access to nearly 13,000 mutual funds. In addition, the firm provides
equity trading services for institutional clients, as well as investment
banking through its Capital Markets division.
Siebert was founded nearly forty years ago by Muriel Siebert, the first
woman to become a member of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Along
with Charles Schwab, the firm was among the industry's pioneering
discount brokerage houses, and it has since been named one of the top
discount brokers by prominent financial publications such as Kiplinger's
and Barron's. Siebert is perhaps best known for its dedication to
meeting the needs of women investors, and its award-winning Women's
Financial Network site is a widely respected source of financial
services geared for women.
Like any discount broker, Siebert's fortunes are inextricably linked to
the health of the overall stock market. As the market has gradually
recovered over the past couple years, increased trading volumes have
helped lift the company's commission-based business. After reporting
double-digit top-line growth last year, revenues in the most recent
quarter jumped +30% to $8.0 million. Most of the improvement was driven
by a +20% increase in commissions and fees -- which represent
three-fourths of total revenues -- as well as sharply higher investment
banking revenues. Meanwhile, earnings tripled from $0.01 to $0.03 per
share over the same period.
In this rapidly consolidating industry, Siebert appears to be an
attractive takeover candidate. Founder and CEO Muriel Siebert holds more
than 90% of the outstanding shares, and given her age of 70+ and the
company’s lack of solid internal growth, it wouldn't be surprising to
see a sale or merger announced at some point in the future. The firm is
in excellent financial health, with a clean capital structure, a $33
million stockpile of cash, zero long-term debt, and virtually no share
dilution over the past five years. All of this only increases the
company's appeal as a potential takeover target.
| John
DiStanislao's undervalued investing ideas have delivered extraordinary
returns since he began working for StreetAuthority several
months ago. Thanks to gains of +146.8% on CTTY, +46.5% on
JOB, +45.1% on HGGR, and many others in just a few short
months, John has quickly established himself as one of the
best-performing newsletter analysts in the country. Visit
the link below to try John DiStanislao's
premium value-oriented newsletter -- Margin-of-Safety
Investing -- at zero cost and with zero obligation for a full 30
days.
|
|
Given the recent consolidation
in the industry, it seems apparent that the biggest names in the
industry have discovered that it is far more cost-effective to gain new
clients via acquisitions than to generate them through internal means.
In fact, Ameritrade reported last year that the advertising costs
necessary to land a single new account totaled nearly $250.
With an established base of clients and a substantial amount of assets
under management, Siebert might make a good fit for a larger company.
Certainly the pool of quality candidates -- which once numbered in the
hundreds -- has been drawn down considerably in recent months.
Ameritrade has swallowed the accounts of J.B. Oxford and T.D. Waterhouse
over the past year, while E*Trade has recently completed deals with
BrownCo and Harrisdirect.
Even if the company is not yet ready to put itself on the auction block,
there are other reasons to like SIEB. To begin, the shares have fallen
steadily over the past five years, and are currently trading more than
-40% below their 52-week high. Earlier this month, the stock tumbled
-14% on run-of-the-mill news that a former executive exercised his stock
options. This act has virtually no bearing on the company's financial
performance, nor should it be considered a red flag, as options are
routinely exercised and then sold for any number of reasons.
After this sharp -- and in my opinion unjustified -- pullback, Siebert's
valuation level is beginning to look compelling. Here's
how SIEB stacks up against the industry averages on a host of different
valuation metrics:
| |
SIEB |
Industry |
| Price/Sales
(P/S) |
2.0 |
2.8 |
| Price/Book
(P/B) |
1.6 |
3.4 |
| Price/Free
Cash Flow (P/FCF) |
33.0 |
27.7 |
| Ent.
Value/Gross Profit (EV/GP) |
1.1 |
N/A |
Let's drill down deeper to get
a better look at the stock's valuation. With around 22 million shares
outstanding and a current price of $2.54, Siebert has a market cap of
roughly $56 million. The company has a cash balance of more than half
that amount -- $32 million, or $1.45 per share. Assuming liabilities of
$6.24 million, or $0.28 per share, the company has an adjusted
Enterprise Value of $1.37 per share. Over the past twelve months, the
company has generated cash flows of $1.8 million (or $0.08), which gives
the stock a respectable operating cash flow yield (Cash Flow/Enterprise
Value) of nearly 6%.
Competition in the discount brokerage sector has been intense, with one
round of price wars after another slashing commissions and crimping
profits. Many of Siebert's former competitors have been acquired, and
some are no longer in business at all. With an established book of
business, a valuable and well-respected brand name, and a stellar
financial position, the stock may well be on a larger firm's radar
screen.
However, there is another possible catalyst that could trigger a sharp
rally in the shares. Siebert has filed a lawsuit against Intuit for
"not less than $11.1 million in compensatory damages and $33.3
million in punitive damages." I won't delve into the specifics of
this litigation, but a possible favorable ruling could lift the shares.
With this in mind, anyone interested in the stock may want to research
this matter further.
To a certain extent, a largely transaction-based broker such as Siebert
is an indirect play on the health of the overall market. Those banking
on stronger performance in the years ahead -- which will in turn
encourage increased trading and underwriting activity -- may want to
consider taking a look at Siebert.
-----------------------------
Important Note: The above article
was merely a small excerpt from a recent issue we sent to subscribers of
our premium value investing service -- Margin-of-Safety
Investing. In each issue of that newsletter, editors Nathan
Slaughter and Paul Tracy deliver an in-depth look at a variety of other deeply discounted
stocks that should provide investors with a solid margin of safety at
current prices. To receive your copy of our most recent issue of Margin-of-Safety
Investing, as well as other guidance similar to this twice per
month, you'll need to subscribe to this publication. To learn more,
please visit:
https://www.streetauthority.com/subscribe-msi.asp
Thanks for reading!
|


Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority
|
| To receive
in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities every other weekend, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to
Nathan Slaughter & Paul Tracy's premium value investing newsletter --
Half-Priced
Stocks |
|
|

|
Income Security
of the Month
Our "Income Security of the Month" for August 2008 invests in a
fast-growing overseas market that doesn't get much exposure in the
mainstream financial press. And although it typically makes enormous
annual dividend payments -- it has paid an average dividend of
25.5% per year over the past five years -- this fund is perhaps
most appealing for its total return potential. Specifically, the
fund has delivered total returns of +178.9% since 2003,
and it ranks in the top 10% of its category over the past decade.
|
Top
10 Stocks for 2008!
Since we began publishing this report back in 2003, the picks we've
featured have consistently beaten the broader market -- delivering average
gains of +21.3% per year and outperforming the S&P by a nearly
2-to-1 margin. Act now to reserve your copy of our newest report -- Top
Ten Stocks for 2008. |
|
|