Login

Subscribe   My Account  

Login
Username:
Password:
Remember Me
Login securely
 
Breaking News for Income Investors

The U.S. Dollar is Plummeting
Learn how to profit from the decline of the U.S. dollar...

Capture Dividend Yields of up to 23.1%
Get the full details on how you can capture dividend yields of up to 23.1%.

Where T-Bills Pay 14.2%
It's now easy to capture double-digit yields all over the world.

Foreign Stocks are Skyrocketing
Last year, Chinese stocks soared +180%. Brazil jumped +72%. And investors in the Ukraine...


Shares of Dell Trade 30% Below Fair Value

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

Visit this link to learn more about this premium newsletter.
View our subscription options for Half-Priced Stocks.

Published:  January 15, 2007

At this point, most investors are familiar with Dell (Nasdaq: DELL). Over the years, the company has built a strong reputation by eliminating the retail middleman and providing inexpensive, high-quality computers direct to the public.

Today, the Texas-based company is the world's leading direct-marketer of personal computers (PCs), shipping approximately 36 million desktop and laptop systems around the world annually. Additionally, the firm supplies servers, storage systems, software, printers, high-definition televisions and other related products. 

Dell is no longer the growth story it was a decade ago, and the PC market has grown increasingly commoditized and competitive. For the first time, the firm's PC unit shipments (i.e. the number of computers sold) have been growing at roughly the same pace as the overall industry (rather than exceeding it).

Nevertheless, most would agree that Dell is still arguably one of the strongest companies on the planet, with annual revenues approaching the $60 billion mark.

According to research firm Gartner, the number of PC's sold in 2006 rose around +10% to reach 234 million units. Nearly one out of every six of those computers (and 1-in-3 domestically) was made by Dell.

However, sales growth in the mature PC business continues to slow, and analysts expect worldwide unit growth to slip to just +9% this year. And considering most of those sales will be primarily price-driven, overall revenues are forecast to be little better than flat -- topping out at around $200 billion.

Compounding that industry-wide slowdown, Dell has also been hit by a series of company-specific missteps: disappointing earnings reports, a massive recall of faulty laptop batteries, and an SEC probe into the firm's accounting policies. With this as a backdrop, the shares tumbled around -16% last year, extending a painful -29% slide from 2005.

Despite the pessimism surrounding the company, the competitive advantages that made Dell a worldwide leader are still in place today. Best of all, this prolonged sell-off has given value investors the opportunity to pick up this blue-chip stock at just 20 times trailing earnings -- roughly half its five-year average.

For all its troubles, Dell still boasts one of the most streamlined and efficient supply chains in the business, turning over its inventory every five days -- versus an industry average of fifteen. And as might be expected, the firm also reaps significant economies of scale from its size, leading to one of the highest operating margins in the industry.

Looking ahead, Dell will continue to penetrate rapidly-growing emerging markets, where revenues are projected to grow at twice the rate of those generated in the U.S. At the same time, there are signs that management has adopted more of a focus on profitability, rather than a "slash costs to gain market share" mindset. That strategic shift, combined with a more favorable sales mix (weighed more towards non-PC products), should lead to healthy margin expansion over the next several years.

Meanwhile, the highly-anticipated launch of Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT) Vista operating system -- the successor to Windows -- should spur the sale of both PCs and enterprise systems, as consumers and businesses alike upgrade their systems over the next several years. In addition, the introduction of next-generation Blu-Ray disc drives should also help boost sales going forward. 

Dell will remain a heavyweight in the PC industry. But as the company evolves and adapts to a changing environment, it will become much more than just a vendor of low-priced computers.

It may not be a smooth ascent, but eventually Dell should win over its critics and rebound towards our $38 fair value estimate. 

Note: The above article was free advice given by Nathan Slaughter and Paul Tracy -- the editors of  Half-Priced Stocks. The mission of Half-Priced Stocks is to help  readers identify securities that are trading at a steep discount to their intrinsic net worth. In some cases this discount can reach up to 50% or more, giving savvy value investors the chance to purchase quality stocks for just pennies on the dollar. To learn more about our Half-Priced Stocks service, please visit the following link:
https://www.StreetAuthority.com/subscribe-hps.asp

Thanks for reading!



Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities every other weekend, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter & Paul Tracy's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 

 


Income Security of the Month
Our "Income Security of the Month" for July 2008 invests in a fast-growing overseas market that doesn't get much exposure in the mainstream financial press. And although it typically makes enormous annual dividend payments -- it has paid an average dividend of 24.9% per year over the past five years -- this fund is perhaps most appealing for its total return potential. Specifically, the fund has delivered total returns of +263.9% since 2003, and it ranks in the top 10% of its category over the past decade.

 

Top 10 Stocks for 2008!
Since we began publishing this report back in 2003, the picks we've featured have consistently beaten the broader market -- delivering average gains of +21.3% per year and outperforming the S&P by a nearly 2-to-1 margin. Act now to reserve your copy of our newest report -- Top Ten Stocks for 2008.

 



Success Trading -- 365 Days Without a Loss
Success Trading Group scored 52 wins in 52 weeks! Get their weekend newsletters free. 

High-Yield Investing
If you're looking for both high yields and enormous capital gains, then you need to learn more about our "Income Stock of the Month."

 

Stephen Leeb's Market Forecast
Receive a free ongoing, PhD level Wall Street education in how the markets work so that you can see into the future and position yourself accordingly.

Investor's Business Daily (IBD)
Get 10 Free Issues of Investor's Business Daily (IBD) – Plus 2 Free Weeks of Investors.com

 

High-Yield Investing


High-Yield International


The ETF Authority


Market Advisor


Half-Priced Stocks


Global Dividend Opportunities


Investor Update



 


Google
 
Web StreetAuthority.com


About StreetAuthority    Email Newsletters    My Subscriptions    Manage My Account    Job Opportunities
Contact Us    Affiliates    Disclaimer    Help    Site Map

© Copyright 2001-2008 StreetAuthority, LLC  All Rights Reserved