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Foreign Stocks are Skyrocketing -- Here's How to Capture Your Piece of the Action, and Lock in Yields of 23.0%

By Nick Lanyi
Editor, High-Yield International

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View our subscription options for High-Yield International here.

Published:  May 1, 2008

In the 16th century, European adventurers sailed across the Atlantic to a new land, in search of better lives than they could find in the Old Country. Their settlements grew into colonies that eventually became the United States of America, now the world's largest economy by far.

For decades, American investors have had little reason to send their assets on an overseas journey. Our own stock market offered solid long-term returns with acceptable volatility. By contrast, international investments tended to fall into one of two categories: slow-growth bores (European and, recently, Japanese stocks and bonds) or boom-and-bust roller coasters (emerging-market stocks and bonds).

Times have changed.

Although the U.S. economy remains
the world's mightiest, the forces of globalization have helped create attractive
investment opportunities throughout the world, including in

World's Largest Economies

Rank Country Annual GDP 
($ in trillions)
1 United States $13.2
2 Japan $4.4
3 Germany $2.9
4 China $2.6
5 United Kingdom $2.4
6 France $2.2
7 Italy $1.9
8 Canada $1.3
9 Spain $1.2
10 Brazil $1.1

Source: World Bank

places previously considered only by the most adventurous financial explorers. The end of the Cold War, the near-universal acceptance of capitalism and the ubiquity of online and wireless communication have resulted in falling trade barriers, rising liquidity and truly global markets.

In the 21st century, limiting one's portfolio to U.S. stocks is akin to keeping one's television tuned to one channel -- you'll find some enticing offerings, but you'll miss out on so much more.

That's especially true for high-yield investors. After all, you and I happen to live in one of the stingiest countries in the world when it comes to interest and dividends.

CDs pay less than 4%, before inflation.  T-bills barely pay 1%. And the average U.S. stock pays just 2.1%. (We now have the lowest-yielding stock market in the world, apart from Japan's.)

It's a cash-flow desert here in America for anyone who needs to bank a comfortable income off their portfolio. So if you want to truly maximize the income-generating power of your portfolio, then you need to invest overseas.

Foreign Markets Deliver Average Yields of up to 8.3%

The average stock in the U.S. sports a dividend yield of just 2.1%. But in almost every other country around the world, stocks offer significantly higher yields. This phenomenon has occurred for three main reasons . . .

1.)  Until 2003 the U.S. government taxed dividends as ordinary income, creating an incentive for companies to deploy excess cash in other ways. Although qualified dividends are now taxed at a lower 15% rate, corporate America has not yet fully adjusted its cash-deployment strategy.

2.)  Many industries in foreign countries are dominated by state-sanctioned monopolies. These old-school companies, with strong ties to the government, tend to be the most stable -- and some of the highest-yielding -- on the planet.

3.)  The largest companies in emerging markets need to offer higher-than-average yields to attract foreign investors. These high dividend payments serve to entice investors from developed countries, including deep-pocketed institutional investors.

Check out my chart and you'll see how much more other markets yield. And I'm not even including a dozen other smaller markets that are also paying more than the U.S.

Poland, for example, yields 3.9%. Singapore yields 4.1% . . .  Greece, 3.0% . . . Holland, 3.8% . . . and Taiwan, 3.8%. And remember, those are just the averages -- many individual stocks

in these foreign markets are now dishing out yields of 10%, 15% . . . even 20% or more.

So if you want to capture some of the highest yields on the market, and profit from today's fastest-growing economies, then you need to be looking overseas.

Stronger Growth Outside the U.S.

The U.S. economy has continued to slow in 2008, and all signs point to a possible recession in the coming months. In fact, we might already be in the midst of one.

Between the mortgage mess and the credit crisis . . . record oil prices and nagging inflation . . . the budget deficit and the trade gap . . . it all adds up to a pretty strong headwind for U.S. investors. Fed Chairman Bernanke has said so himself. 

As the world's largest economy, it is virtually impossible for the U.S. to deliver the robust growth rates that it has posted in decades past. This could lead to continued losses for U.S. stocks (or sluggish, below-average returns, at best).

Fortunately, many other countries around the world are at far earlier stages on the economic development path and should deliver much higher growth rates than the U.S. for years to come. As you can see from my chart, the U.S. economy simply can't match the growth that's taking place in foreign markets.

This year may mark a "perfect storm" of negativity for the U.S. economy. But as you can see, much of the rest of the world is expected to enjoy strong economic growth. Yes, other countries are also affected by the negative trends that are hurting the U.S. -- but foreign economies are still expanding at much faster rates.

This is remarkable because the U.S. is by

far the world's largest economy. It has long been understood that our own levels of economic activity drive supply-and-demand calculations around the world. But the link between America's economic strength and that of the rest of the world has weakened.

It used to be said that when

America sneezes, the world catches a cold. Now, it's more like a sniffle.

The reason is globalization and the wealth-spreading effects that flow from it. Consumers, producers, exporters and financiers who once depended on the U.S. now can turn elsewhere.

The global economy used to resemble a bicycle wheel with the U.S. in the middle, the fixed spokes radiating out representing our purchases and sales with all the other players. In the 21st century, it makes more sense to imagine an intricate spider's web; the U.S. remains central, but globalization allows strong but flexible strands to be woven constantly, in all directions.

What does this mean for investors? Simply that diversifying overseas is more important than in the past. When the U.S. slows, money will flow into international markets offering greater returns.

And there's another reason to invest overseas. The world is witnessing something unprecedented -- a sustained economic boom among so-called emerging markets. Again, globalization is driving this phenomenon. And because this trend is likely to last for many years, it represents a terrific investment opportunity.

China and India, the two largest countries by population, have been growing at double-digit annual rates for most of this century. Eager to catch up to the world's economic superpowers, both countries are investing tens of billions of dollars in infrastructure projects -- roads and bridges, power plants and water systems, wireless and Internet networks, even factories and cities.

Similar trends are in place in Brazil, Russia and many other countries, such as South Korea. These nations should continue to deliver exceptional growth as their economies catch up to the developed levels enjoyed by the U.S., Western Europe and Japan.

Foreign Markets Deliver Gains of up to +180%

Strong economic growth leads to sharply-rising equity prices. So it's not surprising that foreign stock markets are delivering tremendous returns.

While the S&P 500 had a lackluster 2007, rising just +3.5%, just look at the returns posted by other stock markets around the world . . .

2007 World Stock Market Returns

 

China:

+180%  
 

Ukraine: 

+135%  
 

Slovenia:

+97%  
 

Nigeria: 

+87%  
 

Pakistan:

+86%  
 

Croatia:

+81%  
 

Brazil:

+72%  
 

Mauritius: 

+70%  
 

India: 

+65%  
 

Source:  Bloomberg

 

U.S. stocks have never moved like this. Never. The highest one-year gain the S&P 500 ever reported was +45% -- and that was a lifetime ago . . .  in 1954. In 2007, the S&P 500 didn't even crack the top 50, coming in 76th out of the world's 90 major stock-market indexes.

A Perfect Situation for Income Investors

Thanks to their combination of strong yields and enormous capital gains, foreign markets are the single greatest place for American investors to look for dependable high-income plays today. In fact, research shows that 91% of the world's highest-yielding stocks are now located overseas (see details here).

That's why I decided to team up with StreetAuthority, LLC -- one of the nation's leading publishers of unbiased, independent market research -- to launch my new premium newsletter . . . High-Yield International. It's the only newsletter of its kind devoted exclusively to finding high-yielding securities in today's best-performing foreign markets.

In recent issues, I've profiled some of the most attractive dividend payers on the planet, including a rock-solid Australian utility with a 20.8% yield, an international shipping company paying 14.5%, an emerging Europe fund with a 21.6% yield, and a diversified real estate fund with dividends of 23.0%, among many others.   

If you'd like to learn the names of these companies -- plus receive a steady stream of foreign stocks, funds and other investing ideas with abnormally high dividend yields each and every month -- then I'd like to extend you a personal invitation to try my premium international investing newsletter . . . High-Yield International. Visit this link to learn more.





-- Nick Lanyi
Editor
High Yield International



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