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3
Stocks Warren Buffett is Buying NOW
How does a +360,000% gain sound? That figure may seem
fanciful, but believe it or not, that's exactly how much Berkshire
Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK-B) book value has increased since Warren Buffett
assumed control of the firm back in 1965. However, when it comes to
Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, everyone wants to know just one thing: What is
Buffett buying now?
In today's report, we'll not only shed some light on the "Oracle of Omaha's"
latest moves, we'll provide a detailed look at three stocks that have been at
the top of Warren Buffett's shopping list recently. |
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TABLE
OF CONTENTS:
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Free
to All Web Site Visitors:
Introductory analysis explaining more about Eddie Lampert and his
techniques for earning phenomenal gains. This includes:
(1) Read Between the Lines
(2) Follow the Leaders
Available
Exclusively to Paying Customers:
Throughout the remainder of this report, we provide an in-depth look at
three stocks that Eddie Lampert holds. By piggy-backing on his
investments, investors stand to make large gains in the future.
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(1.) Read
Between the Lines
Considering the phenomenal investment returns that Warren
Buffett has racked up during his extraordinary career, it's not surprising
that literally hundreds of articles, books, and even web sites have cropped
up attempting to dissect and study his every move. Yet, while it is
certainly worthwhile to spend some time learning Buffett's proven investment
methodology, most of these articles rehash the same tired arguments for the
same companies.
At this point, nearly everyone is familiar with longtime Berkshire holdings
like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and Washington Post (NYSE: WPO) -- fine companies,
to be sure, but ones that are also arguably past their prime. Even Buffett
has urged investors to temper their expectations for these stocks:
"Expect no miracles from our equity portfolio. Though we own major
interests in a number of strong, highly-profitable businesses, they are not
selling at anything like bargain prices. As a group, they may double in
value in ten years. The likelihood is that their per-share earnings, in
aggregate, will grow 6-8% per year over the decade and that their stock
prices will more or less match that growth."
Yet, while Buffett is expecting only modest returns from most of Berkshire's
older holdings, that isn't necessarily true of his latest purchases. As a
notoriously selective investor, Buffett seldom takes serious interest in a
new investment opportunity -- one reason why Berkshire is sitting on tens of
billions of dollar in cash. Therefore, when he does finally pull the trigger
on a stock, you can bet he has done his homework and is aiming for much more
than a mediocre +6% annual gain.
Clearly, those looking to cash in on Buffett's almost legendary investing
acumen should give much more credence to today's decisions than those made
ten or twenty years ago -- when Berkshire goes shopping, the rest of the
world takes notice. And to see what Buffett is up to now, there's no better
place to start than with Berkshire Hathaway's latest annual report.
Over the years, these reports have cultivated a huge following, and those
interested in reading the accumulated wit, wisdom, and candor of Warren
Buffett will find no better source. Unlike the dry accounts of many other
firms, Berkshire's reports are a rich canvas painted with Buffett's sage
market commentary and humorous anecdotes. Of course, while these remarks
make for fascinating reading, they can also yield important clues to those
who read between the lines.
However, even for someone as quotable as Buffett, actions sometimes speak
louder than words. Fortunately, thanks in part to the Securities Act of
1934, we can also get a much closer look at specific business transactions
-- at least on a delayed basis. Specifically, institutional managers with
more than $100 million in assets must disclose their portfolio dealings on a
quarterly basis by filing Form 13-F with the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). If the annual report provides much of the color
commentary, then this form gives us the detailed "play-by-play."
Combined, these two treasure troves of information provide a great deal of
valuable insight, revealing not only what Buffett is thinking, but also what
he is buying now.
Learn
the Name of our Favorite Undervalued Stock!
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If you're a value-oriented
investor looking for discounted stocks, then you need to learn
more about our current "Undervalued Stock of the Month." In
recent issues we've profiled a major provider of cable 36%
below fair value, a lending company with potential to gain 108%,
and a publisher trading 56%
below its fair-value estimate.
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(2.) Follow the Leader
To catch up on Buffett's latest moves, we begin by pouring over last
quarter's Form 13-F. Right away, we quickly notice that Berkshire has been
trimming back positions in some holdings. He's also completely eliminated
its stake in several others, including Pier 1 (NYSE: PIR). The struggling
home furnishings retailer has been unable to turn things around in recent
years, and its shares have plummeted. Fortunately, misfires like that have
been exceedingly rare for Buffett and cohorts Charlie Munger and Lou Simpson
(both highly accomplished investors in their own right).
In fact, since Buffett took control of Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, the
firm's book value has climbed from $19 per share to around $70,000 per
share, for an amazing compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of +21.4% -- more
than double the +10.4% return provided by the broader market. On a
cumulative basis, that works out to a staggering gain of +361,156% -- more
than 50 times the growth of the S&P.
Of course, while that long-term track record is nothing short of amazing, we
are much more concerned with what Buffett is doing with Berkshire's capital
right now. And according to the firm's annual report, it is clear that he
continues to funnel less of the firm's enormous assets into marketable
securities and more into acquiring operating businesses.
Perhaps the biggest was Buffett's $4 billion acquisition of ISCAR, an
Israeli maker of metal-cutting tools. He's also completed a number of other
private purchases recently, including PacifiCorp, Business Wire, and Applied
Underwriters. These are classic Buffett businesses, with steady cash flows,
sustainable competitive advantages, and extremely bright and talented
managers. However, while the purchases of these private companies will
likely benefit Berkshire Hathaway and its shareholders, they don't give
everyday investors like you and me much to go on.
Fortunately, Berkshire's annual report has quite a bit more to say,
including some very "actionable" advice. For example, Berkshire has raked in
$2.2 billion in profits from direct foreign currency forward contracts over
the past four years, mostly on the euro, Canadian dollar, and British pound.
Going forward, Buffett has outlined plans to find "other ways to gain
foreign currency exposure, such as the ownership of foreign equities or of
U.S. stocks with major earnings abroad."
Though Buffett can be cryptic at times, this recommendation is crystal
clear: boost your exposure to foreign stocks, as well as domestic
companies with overseas operations.
Buffett sees a number of advantages overseas. For starters, favorable
valuation levels in many foreign exchanges have not escaped his attention.
Furthermore, the precipitous slide of the U.S. dollar has also factored into
his decision. To back up his assertion that the greenback will continue to
weaken, Buffett has provided a number of thought-provoking points.
First, the U.S. trade deficit reached record levels last year, as we
imported about $760 billion more than we exported -- that's equal to about
6% of our nation's annual GDP.
At the same time, over-consumption turned the nation's "investment income
account" negative last year for the first time since 1915. In other words,
foreign depositors and investors now earn more on their U.S. investments
than Americans do on their foreign securities. Although somewhat complex,
this situation further damages the dollar's credibility.
Given Buffett's bold statements, investors might want to consider ratcheting
up their international exposure or giving added preference to domestic firms
that generate a healthy portion of their operating income overseas. And
based on everything we've seen and heard in recent months, we think Buffett
is sending a clear message that the following three companies in particular
deserve a closer look.
END OF FREE
CONTENT
The remainder of this report is available exclusively to paid subscribers.
In it, we provide in-depth analysis of three stocks in which Buffett is
currently buying. These stocks
include:
A foreign steel company that has increased +100% in the last year. Thanks to
strong demand from China for steel, this firm's stock should see further
gains in the years ahead.
A railroad company with a return on equity of 20%. This firm also has the
best access to the Powder River Basin -- home to the nation's largest coal
deposits.
A market bellwether whose products are used more than 3
billion times around the world every single day.
Thanks for reading
today's special report -- 3 Stocks Warren Buffett is Buying NOW.
Good investing!
-- Research Staff
StreetAuthority.com
http://www.StreetAuthority.com
StreetAuthority LLC
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd.
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614
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