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Northern
Beauties:
Four Great Canadian Trusts for Yield and Gains
In 1979, the founder and CEO of America's largest independent oil company
faced a serious problem. Although he had built his company, Mesa Petroleum,
from a small Texas operator into one of the world's largest global oil
producers, it was becoming increasingly difficult to expand the company's
oil reserves.
You see, Mesa's once-prolific Texas oilfields were now mature. These fields
produced safe, reliable cash flows with little need for investment, but it
was nearly impossible to grow production or boost reserves. And without
growth, Wall Street just wasn't interested in the stock. Mesa desperately
needed to unlock the value of those mature fields and raise cash for
exploration and expansion to appease investors.
Meanwhile, America was in the early stages of a demographic sea change. The
nation's population was already graying and older Americans were desperately
in need of regular income. Ultra-high inflation in the late 1970s had
ravaged returns from most traditional income investments. Meanwhile,
corporate tax rates were sky-high, greatly reducing corporations' ability to
pay dividends. As a result, millions of investors were in need of other
investment opportunities that could throw off high yields, as well as a
steady, predictable income.
Enter the income trust. In the late 1970s, trusts were a relatively new type
of business organization. Simply put, a trust is a unique kind of company
that is designed to pay out large distributions to its unitholders (in trust
lingo shares are known as "units" and dividends are dubbed "distributions").
Trusts allow income and cash flows to be passed directly to investors as
distributions, without corporate taxes. In the beginning years of trusts,
individual investors simply paid taxes on any distributions received as if
those distributions were regular stock dividends.
Energy Trusts Flood the Corporate Landscape
Although a variety of companies in different industries, including utilities
and real estate, have set up their corporate structure as trusts, energy
trusts have been the most popular type. The typical energy royalty trust
holds production rights to a group of oil and gas fields. Generally, the oil
and gas fields held in a trust are mature and will gradually be depleted
over a number of years. Until the fields are fully exploited, they continue
to produce solid cash flows with minimal need for investment; infrastructure
to pump, store, and transport oil are already in place. It is these safe,
stable cash flows that back up the trust's large distributions. In essence,
owning a trust is like owning a piece of a continued stream of oil and gas
production.
The royalty trust structure solved Mesa's growth problems and quenched
investors' thirst for income in one fell swoop. In 1979, Mesa's founder, oil
billionaire T. Boone Pickens, formed the nation's first royalty trust,
dubbing the entity Mesa Trust. Pickens spun-off nearly half of Mesa's
reserves into Mesa Trust, which ended up holding 8 million barrels of oil
and 800 billion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. A vast majority of these
reserves were part of Mesa's mature fields and had years of profitable
operating history.
Pickens raised billions to fund an aggressive exploration program by selling
Mesa Trust to the public. Moreover, Mesa was able to concentrate further
investment on developing younger, faster-growing fields. As a result, Wall
Street got the growth that it so desperately sought from Mesa's regular
common shares.
Meanwhile, Mesa Trust unitholders received a healthy stream of income in the
form of distributions. This was far superior income than was available from
most comparable investments at the time. Capital raised by Mesa Trust
allowed further investment in the company's mature oil fields that might
have otherwise been abandoned. The result: Mesa and Mesa Trust soared. By
1981, less than two years after Pickens formed the first energy royalty
trust, the value of his two companies had tripled.
(1.)
Royalty Trusts Migrate North
to Canada
While royalty trusts still exist today, the trust structure
that Pickens put together didn't last long in the U.S. By the middle of the
1980s, Congress reformed trust legislation, thereby severely limiting the
types of assets trusts could hold. Furthermore, U.S. trusts were no longer
allowed to fund new acquisitions by either issuing new units or raising debt
capital. When their reserves run dry, U.S. energy trusts have no value and
are dissolved. In addition, thanks in part to this legislation, U.S. trusts'
distributions do not qualify for the reduced 15% tax rate on
dividends.
But trusts aren't just a U.S. phenomenon. In particular, a handful of savvy
income investors soon followed billionaire T. Boone Pickens' lead, even
after U.S. trust law changed. Specifically, a cadre of Canadian income
trusts has been paying out generous, tax-advantaged cash flows to investors
for nearly two decades.
But while Canadian trusts continue to offer advantages over their U.S.
counterparts, the structure is no longer as attractive as it once was.
Specifically, in a move reminiscent of the U.S. tax law changes of the '80s,
on October 31, 2006, the Canadian government laid out a proposal to tax
Canadian trusts as corporations. The changes are intended to stop the loss
of tax revenue from the income trust structure, which formerly
allowed trusts to avoid paying corporate income tax.
Under the legislation, trusts will be taxed at regular corporate
tax rates before distributions, and shareholders will be taxed on
distributions as though they were normal dividends. (As of yet, no changes
have been made to the individual tax treatment of Canadian income trust
distributions for U.S. investors.) These changes take effect
in 2011 for all existing trusts and start immediately for new trusts
rolled out after October 31, 2006. And despite lobbying efforts by a 40-member Coalition of
Canadian Energy Trusts, Canada's Finance Minister Jim Flaherty remains
adamant his government will not reverse its decision.
Given that the legislation has a three-year grace period before
existing income trusts are taxed, the proposed changes shouldn't affect
near-term cash flows or distributions. Meanwhile, existing trusts will
continue to pay out distributions, otherwise the trusts will face punitive
tax rates. You can think of these trusts as essentially having a
tax holiday during which investors should continue raking in an
above-average income stream.
In addition, many trusts have accumulated tax credits known as "tax pools."
These credits can be used to offset taxable income and will allow some
trusts to avoid Canadian corporate tax rates for a few years after 2011.
Longer-term, however, existing income trusts will likely be forced to
markedly reduce their dividend payouts. Some are likely to pre-empt the tax
regime by converting back to corporations, and at that point in time, they
may or may not pay dividends.
A Silver Lining
While trusts aren't the income superstars they once were, investors can't
afford to totally ignore the group. Select trusts with strong fundamentals
and reasonable valuation levels should continue to prosper and reward
investors who scoop them up at bargain prices. And some may continue to
offer above-average yields even under the new tax regime.
A majority of the trusts haven't yet laid out their plans for
handling the coming tax law change. Most have announced they want to fully
explore their options. Here are some of the key issues to watch over the
next few years that could affect share prices and distributions positively:
Tax Pools -- Tax pools are nothing more than tax credits that allow a
trust to avoid paying tax entirely or severely reduce their exposure to tax.
Pools may allow some trusts to postpone the effects of the tax law change
for as long as 3-5 years. Look for trusts to step up disclosure of their
tax pools and how they plan to use these credits.
Growth Limitations -- The limits on how many new units trusts can
issue is based on the current market capitalization of the trust. This
is a disadvantage for smaller trusts, making it difficult for them to
raise the capital they need to expand. However, larger trusts could be in a
better position.
Acquisitions -- By taking the trusts private, it's possible to avoid
the new trust tax laws. Since the announced changes, a number of
trusts have been bought out by private equity buyers and a handful of others
have announced strategic reviews of their operations -- that's equivalent to
putting up a "For Sale" sign. In addition, foreign oil or gas exploration
companies may see buying the trusts as a cheap way of adding to their
reserves.
The U.S. LP Structure -- Some Canadian trusts have already re-packaged
their U.S. assets into a master limited partnership (MLP) or limited liability company
(LLC) structure. The U.S. MLP structure is a pass-through security similar to Canadian trusts -- that means
MLPs don't pay tax at the corporate level.
This could shelter these assets from the trust tax structure. While there
are some legal issues, it may also be possible for U.S.-based MLPs to acquire
Canadian trusts directly, further reducing the punitive tax liability under
the Canadian law.
(2.) The Key Benefits of Canadian Trusts
The key benefit of Canadian trusts in
comparison to their U.S. counterparts is that they are not wasting assets
(for those of you unfamiliar with this term, a "wasting asset" is an asset
that has a limited lifespan and loses its value over time). As we noted
earlier, U.S. energy trusts aren't allowed to purchase new reserves or to
undertake new drilling and exploration programs. As a result, every U.S.
energy trust will eventually deplete its oil and gas reserves and have
to be dissolved.
Canadian trusts don't have that limitation. Instead, they are actively
managed just like normal corporations. They are allowed to borrow money or
issue new units subject to certain new growth limitations. They can then
use this cash to fund new exploration efforts or to acquire additional
reserves. Because they're able to continuously purchase new reserves to make
up for depletion of their existing fields, Canadian trusts can more easily
maintain their distributions. Thus, Canadian trusts theoretically never have
to be fully dissolved.
For American investors, another key benefit in the short-term is taxes.
Distributions from U.S. trusts are generally classified as either return of
capital or regular income and are therefore not subject to the reduced 15%
tax rate on dividends. Instead, the part of the
distribution from a U.S. trust considered regular income is charged at the
full income tax rate. The remainder of the distribution from a U.S. trust is not
taxable until the trust is sold. Obviously, tax implications for U.S. trusts
can get complicated, even for investors with limited exposure to the group.
By contrast, the vast majority of Canadian trusts are considered normal
operating companies by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in the United
States. As a result, U.S. investors usually only have to pay a flat 15% tax
on their distributions. However, this will change in
2011. While trust dividends will still be considered qualified dividends in
the U.S., the new trust tax in
Canada will levy a 31.5% tax at the trust level,
severely blunting the tax benefits of the structure for investors.
You should also be aware that currently most distributions to unitholders are subject
to a 15% Canadian withholding tax. The good news is that you can claim a
foreign tax credit on IRS form 1116. By doing so, you should be able to
offset any taxes paid to the Canadian government against your U.S. tax
liability. However, the situation can be murkier if the trusts are held in a
tax-exempt IRA account. It's much more difficult to claim the foreign tax
credit from tax-advantaged accounts. As a result, U.S. investors should
consider holding Canadian trusts in their regular brokerage accounts, not in
tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs.
Learn
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(3.) The Energy Connection
Although some Canadian trusts now operate in a variety of
other markets, energy trusts are the most common type. Canadian energy
trusts generate cash by selling the oil and natural gas their fields
produce. Clearly, rising energy prices have been a boon for the group over
the past few years. Not surprisingly, energy trusts have enjoyed rising cash
flows and have paid out consistent, generous distributions.
But there is a flipside to that virtue. If energy prices fall, then that
will negatively impact cash flows and income. Ultimately, if the energy
market heads south, then some trusts might be forced to cut their
distributions. Distribution cuts normally result in rather large drops in a
trust's stock market value, as these stocks are typically held as income
investments.
The good news for investors is that energy prices are likely to remain high
enough to support solid distributions over the next few years. Although
we'll no doubt see plenty of volatility in oil and gas prices, long-term
demand for oil and gas is on the rise, and global production is barely
keeping pace with that demand.
Emerging
markets like China and India are becoming increasingly voracious consumers
of oil. Take a look at our chart showing Chinese oil consumption and
production patterns over the past several decades. Note that up until the 1990s
China produced more oil than it consumed. Since then, however, Chinese
consumption has been rising in parabolic fashion. It should therefore come
as little surprise that Chinese oil imports have surged massively in recent
years.
And the picture isn't much different for natural gas. The U.S. imports
more than 3 trillion cubic feet of natural gas from Canada each year just to
meet demand from U.S. power plants. And with power demand growing quickly,
the U.S. Department of Energy projects that America's demand for gas will
increase at an average annualized pace of +1.6% over the next 20 years.
Just as with oil, domestic demand is only part of the story. Demand for
natural gas from emerging Asian countries is forecast to grow at a +4.4%
annual clip over the next 20 years. That rate is nearly triple the strong
U.S. pace. With these points in mind, oil and natural gas prices are likely
to remain at historically high levels for the foreseeable future.
Nonetheless, risk-averse investors might still wish to focus on trusts that
are conservative when it comes to paying out distributions. This means they
should look for trusts with relatively low payout ratios (more on this in a
moment). Such trusts will be far less likely to cut their distributions even
if energy prices fall from current levels. In addition, if oil and gas
prices remain strong (as we expect them to), then these conservative payers
will have much more flexibility to raise their distributions in the future.
(4.)
Picking the Right Trusts
As with any investment, selection is key when buying trusts.
The biggest mistake an investor can make is to simply look for the royalty
trusts that offer the highest dividend yields and disregard their underlying
businesses. Often, trusts with ultra-high yields are fundamentally weak in
some way. As a result, their distributions are likely to be unsustainable.
Here are some of the most important considerations to keep in mind when
buying trusts:
Payout Ratio -- This ratio measures the percentage of a trust's cash
flows that are paid out as distributions. For example, if a trust earns
$1 in cash flows per unit and pays out $0.85 in distributions in a given
year, then its payout ratio would be 85%. It is important to find a balance
between payout ratios and distributions. Lower ratios indicate trusts are
holding back some of their cash so that if earnings or cash flows fall, they won't be
immediately forced to cut their distributions. This offers a nice cushion
against commodity price volatility. On the other hand, higher ratios show
that the trust is doing what it can to create shareholder value.
Important Note: All payout ratio data
included in this report was calculated by directly reviewing each trust's
recent financial statements. In all instances, we used fully diluted cash
flows as the denominator (instead of earnings) when calculating payout
ratios. Because earnings include a number of non-cash charges, including
depreciation, the use of cash flow figures gives us a more accurate
indication of each firm's ability to continue to meet its dividend
requirements. Since we use cash flow data instead of earnings, the payout
ratios we reference throughout this report may differ from what you will
find from other financial sources.
Manageable Debt -- As we explained, Canadian trusts are able to take
on debt or equity financing to expand their businesses. Although it's normal
and quite healthy for a trust to have some debt, occasionally a trust can
get into financial trouble by taking on too much debt.
Reserve Quality -- Most oil and gas related trusts own fairly mature
reserves that offer predictable production. But a key metric to watch is
"reserve life." This figure indicates how many years of production a trust
can pump from its existing reserves. Trusts with low reserve life will
likely be forced to issue more units or borrow more money to acquire new
reserves. These acquisitions can be both expensive and dilutive to existing unitholders, especially when energy prices are high.
Interlisted -- Although it's not hard for U.S. investors to buy
Canadian stocks, we tend to prefer trusts that are listed both in Canada and
on one of the major U.S. exchanges.
For U.S. investors, these trusts are easier and cheaper to purchase. In
addition, up-to-date headline and quote information is more readily
available. Furthermore, interlisted trusts are more likely to have
experience dealing with a United States investor base. Their investor
relations departments should be better able to handle queries from U.S.
owners.
With these points in mind, the table that follows offers a listing of
several Canadian trusts that trade on one of the U.S. exchanges. We'll devote the remainder of today's report to an in-depth look at
four trusts from this list.
END OF FREE
CONTENT
The
remainder of this report is available exclusively to paid subscribers.
In it, we detail a table of ten Canadian trusts that are currently paying
out huge dividends to their unitholders. In addition, we provide in-depth
analysis of our four favorite trusts from this list and discuss possible
legislations concerning Canadian trusts. These securities include:
A exploration and production firm turned trust that holds millions of acres
of land that have potential for either oil production -- and yields
10.5%.
A company that has a reserve life of 14 years -- one of the highest of any
Canadian trust -- so you you know its 9.0% distribution will be steady
for years to come.
A coal-producing trust that is hitting it big by shipping nearly half of its
coal to Asia. This trust carries a yield
of 10.0%.
Thanks for reading
today's special report -- Northern Beauties: Four Great Canadian
Trusts for Yield and Gains.
Good investing!
-- Research Staff
StreetAuthority.com
http://www.StreetAuthority.com
StreetAuthority LLC
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd.
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614
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