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Northern Beauties:
Four Great Canadian Trusts for Yield and Gains

In 1979, the founder and CEO of America's largest independent oil company faced a serious problem. Although he had built his company, Mesa Petroleum, from a small Texas operator into one of the world's largest global oil producers, it was becoming increasingly difficult to expand the company's oil reserves.

You see, Mesa's once-prolific Texas oilfields were now mature. These fields produced safe, reliable cash flows with little need for investment, but it was nearly impossible to grow production or boost reserves. And without growth, Wall Street just wasn't interested in the stock. Mesa desperately needed to unlock the value of those mature fields and raise cash for exploration and expansion to appease investors.

Meanwhile, America was in the early stages of a demographic sea change. The nation's population was already graying and older Americans were desperately in need of regular income. Ultra-high inflation in the late 1970s had ravaged returns from most traditional income investments. Meanwhile, corporate tax rates were sky-high, greatly reducing corporations' ability to pay dividends. As a result, millions of investors were in need of other investment opportunities that could throw off high yields, as well as a steady, predictable income.

Enter the income trust. In the late 1970s, trusts were a relatively new type of business organization. Simply put, a trust is a unique kind of company that is designed to pay out large distributions to its unitholders (in trust lingo shares are known as "units" and dividends are dubbed "distributions"). Trusts allow income and cash flows to be passed directly to investors as distributions, without corporate taxes. In the beginning years of trusts, individual investors simply paid taxes on any distributions received as if those distributions were regular stock dividends.

Energy Trusts Flood the Corporate Landscape
Although a variety of companies in different industries, including utilities and real estate, have set up their corporate structure as trusts, energy trusts have been the most popular type. The typical energy royalty trust holds production rights to a group of oil and gas fields. Generally, the oil and gas fields held in a trust are mature and will gradually be depleted over a number of years. Until the fields are fully exploited, they continue to produce solid cash flows with minimal need for investment; infrastructure to pump, store, and transport oil are already in place. It is these safe, stable cash flows that back up the trust's large distributions. In essence, owning a trust is like owning a piece of a continued stream of oil and gas production.

The royalty trust structure solved Mesa's growth problems and quenched investors' thirst for income in one fell swoop. In 1979, Mesa's founder, oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens, formed the nation's first royalty trust, dubbing the entity Mesa Trust. Pickens spun-off nearly half of Mesa's reserves into Mesa Trust, which ended up holding 8 million barrels of oil and 800 billion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. A vast majority of these reserves were part of Mesa's mature fields and had years of profitable operating history.

Pickens raised billions to fund an aggressive exploration program by selling Mesa Trust to the public. Moreover, Mesa was able to concentrate further investment on developing younger, faster-growing fields. As a result, Wall Street got the growth that it so desperately sought from Mesa's regular common shares.

Meanwhile, Mesa Trust unitholders received a healthy stream of income in the form of distributions. This was far superior income than was available from most comparable investments at the time. Capital raised by Mesa Trust allowed further investment in the company's mature oil fields that might have otherwise been abandoned. The result: Mesa and Mesa Trust soared. By 1981, less than two years after Pickens formed the first energy royalty trust, the value of his two companies had tripled.

 TABLE OF CONTENTS:

Free to All Web Site Visitors:
Introductory analysis explaining why every investor should be interested in Canadian trusts. This includes:
(1)  Royalty Trusts Migrate North to Canada
 

(2)  The Key Benefits of Canadian Trusts
 
(3)  The Energy Connection
 
(4)  Picking the Right Trusts
 
  
Available Exclusively to Paying Customers:
Throughout the remainder of this report, we provide a table of ten Canadian trusts that offer ample, steady yields. In addition, we offer an in-depth look at our four favorite individual stocks from this list and an addendum explaining how recent legislation could affect Canadian trusts.


(1.)  Royalty Trusts Migrate North to Canada

While royalty trusts still exist today, the trust structure that Pickens put together didn't last long in the U.S. By the middle of the 1980s, Congress reformed trust legislation, thereby severely limiting the types of assets trusts could hold. Furthermore, U.S. trusts were no longer allowed to fund new acquisitions by either issuing new units or raising debt capital. When their reserves run dry, U.S. energy trusts have no value and are dissolved. In addition, thanks in part to this legislation, U.S. trusts' distributions do not qualify for the reduced 15% tax rate on dividends.

But trusts aren't just a U.S. phenomenon. In particular, a handful of savvy income investors soon followed billionaire T. Boone Pickens' lead, even after U.S. trust law changed. Specifically, a cadre of Canadian income trusts has been paying out generous, tax-advantaged cash flows to investors for nearly two decades.

But while Canadian trusts continue to offer advantages over their U.S. counterparts, the structure is no longer as attractive as it once was. Specifically, in a move reminiscent of the U.S. tax law changes of the '80s, on October 31, 2006, the Canadian government laid out a proposal to tax Canadian trusts as corporations. The changes are intended to stop the loss of tax revenue from the income trust structure, which formerly allowed trusts to avoid paying corporate income tax.

Under the legislation, trusts will be taxed at regular corporate tax rates before distributions, and shareholders will be taxed on distributions as though they were normal dividends. (As of yet, no changes have been made to the individual tax treatment of Canadian income trust distributions for U.S. investors.) These changes take effect in 2011 for all existing trusts and start immediately for new trusts rolled out after October 31, 2006. And despite lobbying efforts by a 40-member Coalition of Canadian Energy Trusts, Canada's Finance Minister Jim Flaherty remains adamant his government will not reverse its decision.

Given that the legislation has a three-year grace period before existing income trusts are taxed, the proposed changes shouldn't affect near-term cash flows or distributions. Meanwhile, existing trusts will continue to pay out distributions, otherwise the trusts will face punitive tax rates. You can think of these trusts as essentially having a tax holiday during which investors should continue raking in an above-average income stream.

In addition, many trusts have accumulated tax credits known as "tax pools." These credits can be used to offset taxable income and will allow some trusts to avoid Canadian corporate tax rates for a few years after 2011.

Longer-term, however, existing income trusts will likely be forced to markedly reduce their dividend payouts. Some are likely to pre-empt the tax regime by converting back to corporations, and at that point in time, they may or may not pay dividends.

A Silver Lining
While trusts aren't the income superstars they once were, investors can't afford to totally ignore the group. Select trusts with strong fundamentals and reasonable valuation levels should continue to prosper and reward investors who scoop them up at bargain prices. And some may continue to offer above-average yields even under the new tax regime.

A majority of the trusts haven't yet laid out their plans for handling the coming tax law change. Most have announced they want to fully explore their options. Here are some of the key issues to watch over the next few years that could affect share prices and distributions positively:

Tax Pools -- Tax pools are nothing more than tax credits that allow a trust to avoid paying tax entirely or severely reduce their exposure to tax. Pools may allow some trusts to postpone the effects of the tax law change for as long as 3-5 years. Look for trusts to step up disclosure of their tax pools and how they plan to use these credits.

Growth Limitations -- The limits on how many new units trusts can issue is based on the current market capitalization of the trust. This is a disadvantage for smaller trusts, making it difficult for them to raise the capital they need to expand. However, larger trusts could be in a better position.

Acquisitions -- By taking the trusts private, it's possible to avoid the new trust tax laws. Since the announced changes, a number of trusts have been bought out by private equity buyers and a handful of others have announced strategic reviews of their operations -- that's equivalent to putting up a "For Sale" sign. In addition, foreign oil or gas exploration companies may see buying the trusts as a cheap way of adding to their reserves.

The U.S. LP Structure -- Some Canadian trusts have already re-packaged their U.S. assets into a master limited partnership (MLP) or limited liability company (LLC) structure. The U.S. MLP structure is a pass-through security similar to Canadian trusts -- that means MLPs don't pay tax at the corporate level. This could shelter these assets from the trust tax structure. While there are some legal issues, it may also be possible for U.S.-based MLPs to acquire Canadian trusts directly, further reducing the punitive tax liability under the Canadian law.


(2.)  The Key Benefits of Canadian Trusts

The key benefit of Canadian trusts in comparison to their U.S. counterparts is that they are not wasting assets (for those of you unfamiliar with this term, a "wasting asset" is an asset that has a limited lifespan and loses its value over time). As we noted earlier, U.S. energy trusts aren't allowed to purchase new reserves or to undertake new drilling and exploration programs. As a result, every U.S. energy trust will eventually deplete its oil and gas reserves and have to be dissolved.

Canadian trusts don't have that limitation. Instead, they are actively managed just like normal corporations. They are allowed to borrow money or issue new units subject to certain new growth limitations. They can then use this cash to fund new exploration efforts or to acquire additional reserves. Because they're able to continuously purchase new reserves to make up for depletion of their existing fields, Canadian trusts can more easily maintain their distributions. Thus, Canadian trusts theoretically never have to be fully dissolved.

For American investors, another key benefit in the short-term is taxes. Distributions from U.S. trusts are generally classified as either return of capital or regular income and are therefore not subject to the reduced 15% tax rate on dividends. Instead, the part of the distribution from a U.S. trust considered regular income is charged at the full income tax rate. The remainder of the distribution from a U.S. trust is not taxable until the trust is sold. Obviously, tax implications for U.S. trusts can get complicated, even for investors with limited exposure to the group.

By contrast, the vast majority of Canadian trusts are considered normal operating companies by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in the United States. As a result, U.S. investors usually only have to pay a flat 15% tax on their distributions. However, this will change in 2011. While trust dividends will still be considered qualified dividends in the U.S., the new trust tax in Canada will levy a 31.5% tax at the trust level, severely blunting the tax benefits of the structure for investors.

You should also be aware that currently most distributions to unitholders are subject to a 15% Canadian withholding tax. The good news is that you can claim a foreign tax credit on IRS form 1116. By doing so, you should be able to offset any taxes paid to the Canadian government against your U.S. tax liability. However, the situation can be murkier if the trusts are held in a tax-exempt IRA account. It's much more difficult to claim the foreign tax credit from tax-advantaged accounts. As a result, U.S. investors should consider holding Canadian trusts in their regular brokerage accounts, not in tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs.

Learn the Name of our Favorite High-Yield Stock! 
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(3.)  The Energy Connection

Although some Canadian trusts now operate in a variety of other markets, energy trusts are the most common type. Canadian energy trusts generate cash by selling the oil and natural gas their fields produce. Clearly, rising energy prices have been a boon for the group over the past few years. Not surprisingly, energy trusts have enjoyed rising cash flows and have paid out consistent, generous distributions.

But there is a flipside to that virtue. If energy prices fall, then that will negatively impact cash flows and income. Ultimately, if the energy market heads south, then some trusts might be forced to cut their distributions. Distribution cuts normally result in rather large drops in a trust's stock market value, as these stocks are typically held as income investments.

The good news for investors is that energy prices are likely to remain high enough to support solid distributions over the next few years. Although we'll no doubt see plenty of volatility in oil and gas prices, long-term demand for oil and gas is on the rise, and global production is barely keeping pace with that demand.

Emerging markets like China and India are becoming increasingly voracious consumers of oil. Take a look at our chart showing Chinese oil consumption and production patterns over the past several decades. Note that up until the 1990s China produced more oil than it consumed. Since then, however, Chinese consumption has been rising in parabolic fashion. It should therefore come as little surprise that Chinese oil imports have surged massively in recent years.

And the picture isn't much different for natural gas. The U.S. imports more than 3 trillion cubic feet of natural gas from Canada each year just to meet demand from U.S. power plants. And with power demand growing quickly, the U.S. Department of Energy projects that America's demand for gas will increase at an average annualized pace of +1.6% over the next 20 years.

Just as with oil, domestic demand is only part of the story. Demand for natural gas from emerging Asian countries is forecast to grow at a +4.4% annual clip over the next 20 years. That rate is nearly triple the strong U.S. pace. With these points in mind, oil and natural gas prices are likely to remain at historically high levels for the foreseeable future.

Nonetheless, risk-averse investors might still wish to focus on trusts that are conservative when it comes to paying out distributions. This means they should look for trusts with relatively low payout ratios (more on this in a moment). Such trusts will be far less likely to cut their distributions even if energy prices fall from current levels. In addition, if oil and gas prices remain strong (as we expect them to), then these conservative payers will have much more flexibility to raise their distributions in the future.


(4.)  Picking the Right Trusts

As with any investment, selection is key when buying trusts. The biggest mistake an investor can make is to simply look for the royalty trusts that offer the highest dividend yields and disregard their underlying businesses. Often, trusts with ultra-high yields are fundamentally weak in some way. As a result, their distributions are likely to be unsustainable.

Here are some of the most important considerations to keep in mind when buying trusts:

Payout Ratio -- This ratio measures the percentage of a trust's cash flows that are paid out as distributions. For example, if a trust earns $1 in cash flows per unit and pays out $0.85 in distributions in a given year, then its payout ratio would be 85%. It is important to find a balance between payout ratios and distributions. Lower ratios indicate trusts are holding back some of their cash so that if earnings or cash flows fall, they won't be immediately forced to cut their distributions. This offers a nice cushion against commodity price volatility. On the other hand, higher ratios show that the trust is doing what it can to create shareholder value.

Important Note:  All payout ratio data included in this report was calculated by directly reviewing each trust's recent financial statements. In all instances, we used fully diluted cash flows as the denominator (instead of earnings) when calculating payout ratios. Because earnings include a number of non-cash charges, including depreciation, the use of cash flow figures gives us a more accurate indication of each firm's ability to continue to meet its dividend requirements. Since we use cash flow data instead of earnings, the payout ratios we reference throughout this report may differ from what you will find from other financial sources.

Manageable Debt -- As we explained, Canadian trusts are able to take on debt or equity financing to expand their businesses. Although it's normal and quite healthy for a trust to have some debt, occasionally a trust can get into financial trouble by taking on too much debt.

Reserve Quality -- Most oil and gas related trusts own fairly mature reserves that offer predictable production. But a key metric to watch is "reserve life." This figure indicates how many years of production a trust can pump from its existing reserves. Trusts with low reserve life will likely be forced to issue more units or borrow more money to acquire new reserves. These acquisitions can be both expensive and dilutive to existing unitholders, especially when energy prices are high.

Interlisted -- Although it's not hard for U.S. investors to buy Canadian stocks, we tend to prefer trusts that are listed both in Canada and on one of the major U.S. exchanges. For U.S. investors, these trusts are easier and cheaper to purchase. In addition, up-to-date headline and quote information is more readily available. Furthermore, interlisted trusts are more likely to have experience dealing with a United States investor base. Their investor relations departments should be better able to handle queries from U.S. owners.

With these points in mind, the table that follows offers a listing of several Canadian trusts that trade on one of the U.S. exchanges. We'll devote the remainder of today's report to an in-depth look at four trusts from this list.


END OF FREE CONTENT

The remainder of this report is available exclusively to paid subscribers. In it, we detail a table of ten Canadian trusts that are currently paying out huge dividends to their unitholders. In addition, we provide in-depth analysis of our four favorite trusts from this list and discuss possible legislations concerning Canadian trusts. These securities include:

A exploration and production firm turned trust that holds millions of acres of land that have potential for either oil production -- and yields 10.5%.

A company that has a reserve life of 14 years -- one of the highest of any Canadian trust -- so you you know its 9.0% distribution will be steady for years to come.

A coal-producing trust that is hitting it big by shipping nearly half of its coal to Asia. This trust carries a yield of 10.0%.


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Thanks for reading today's special report -- Northern Beauties:  Four Great Canadian Trusts for Yield and Gains.

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