Tuesday, November 17, 2009
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Ignoring These Stocks Can Be Costly

-- By Nathan Slaughter

Many investors spend little time hunting for small cap gems and turn to well-known names like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) for growth. And while there's nothing wrong with investing in Apple per se, history shows that automatically overlooking smaller companies can be costly. (Full Story Below)

Also in Today's Issue...

Here's Why Oil Could Hit $185 a Barrel -- and the Best Way to Profit
Tensions between Israel and Iran could reach a fever pitch in 2010. Threats of airstrikes and vows of showering missiles may follow. Oil prices could soar to $185 a barrel in the panic, and the stocks of these oil companies -- along with their investors -- could stand to make a profit.

Get the full story here.
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Ignoring These Stocks Can Be Costly

Let's face it -- we all want growth from our portfolios.

Whether you're a college-aged investor looking to start aggressively accumulating wealth or a retiree more interested in protecting what you've already built, everybody is looking to earn a fair return on their money.

Of course, our definition of "fair" might not always be the same. Many conservative investors are happy to take whatever the market gives them, while others work tirelessly to identify special companies poised to outperform.

Just one homerun can generate more profit than an average investor might make in a lifetime. I'm talking about that rare multi-bagger that appreciates, say, +3,000% over a 10 year stretch.

Don't make the mistake of assuming such jaw-dropping gains must always involve risky ventures that happen to pay off. With that said, you probably won't find these types of stocks in large-cap benchmarks like the Dow.

I'm not saying large cap stocks can't be profitable trades -- I happen to own several, including American Express (NYSE: AXP). But the odds of a large cap stock posting quadruple-digit gains during the next decade are slim.

You have to start thinking small to rake in truly big returns.

I'll show you what I'm talking about.

I recently ran a screen to find the highest-returning U.S. large-cap stocks during the past decade. After excluding pure-play commodity companies (most of which were just in the right place at the right time), here's what I found:
 
Company August 1999 Market Cap 10-Yr. Cumulative Total Return
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) $10.4B +802%
Lab Corp. of America (NYSE: LH) $474.9M +870%
Activision Blizzard
(Nasdaq: ATVI)
$369.5M +898%
Express Scripts
(Nasdaq: ESRX)
$2.5B +1,133%

Led by Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), there have been quite a few standouts that delivered gains of +700% or more. Nobody will complain about that, particularly during a rough stretch when the overall market lost ground.

Then I repeated the process for smaller companies. Here's what I found:
 
Company August 1999 Market Cap 10-Yr. Cumulative Total Return
Life Partners Holdings (Nasdaq: LPHI) $180.5M +36,868%
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Nasdaq: GMCR) $29.0M +7,915%
Hansen Natural
(Nasdaq: HANS)
$43.1M +6,421%
Clean Harbors (NYSE: CLH) $13.5M +3,835%

These are the types of game-changers I'm talking about. Any one of these would have turned a $25,000 investment into a fortune.

These chart-topping gains are almost always the result of an exceptional growth spurt. Take Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Nasdaq: GMCR), for example: Since 2000, the firm's sales have climbed 10-fold and profits have soared more than 20 times over.

Common sense dictates that it's much easier to pull off that type of growth when you're starting from a base of $2 million rather than $200 million.

Believe it or not, there are over 1,000 small-cap stocks (market caps below $2 billion) offering dividend yields that beat average yield of the S&P 500.

Don't automatically assume a company is fast-growing and has a promising future simply because it's small -- the usual rules of competitive advantage and economic moats still apply.

Good Investing!

-- Nathan Slaughter
Chief Investment Strategist
Half-Priced Stocks


 

Worth Noting

The U.S. economy will continue to grow in 2010 and this expected strength will help ensure the dollar stays firm, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Monday.

-- The Wall Street Journal


Investor Trivia

The financial meltdown has left many industries looking like shells of their former selves. Some investors in these industries look like shells of their former selves, too. But which of these sectors is bouncing back hard, more than doubling since hitting bottom this March, in contrast to the broader S&P 500's advance of just +62% since then?

A.) REITs
B.) Treasurys
C.) Preferred stock
D.) Investment-grade bonds
E.) TIGRs


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