Thursday, April 16, 2009
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Three Tips For Saving Your Portfolio -- and Sanity -- in a Bear Market

-- By Amy Calistri

     Still can't bear to look at your brokerage account statement? You're not alone.

     But it's time to start taking control of your portfolio again. I promise you, it's not as overwhelming as you think. In fact, it is far less painful than worrying, which is what you'll do if those statements continue to sit at the bottom of your drawer. And know that making even the simplest changes now can make a huge difference in the long run.
  (Full Story Below)

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Obama wants to double clean-energy generation over the next 3 years. His stimulus plan includes $104 billion for alternative-energy technologies. That spells enormous opportunity for early investors -- because whenever Washington helps a new industry get off the ground, the investment profits follow in lockstep.

We saw it happen in biotechnology, nanotechnology and the Internet. If you missed out on these government-fueled bonanzas of the 1990s, don't feel bad... an instant replay is straight ahead. Get the story here.
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Inside the ground-breaking new guide from Martin D. Weiss: The simple secrets, that can protect your savings, boost your income, and make you wealthy even in the worst of times.

It's more than a book, it's a solution.

 

    Three Tips For Saving Your Portfolio -- and Sanity -- in a Bear Market

     If you ask investors what their biggest challenge has been over the past year, you'll probably hear about the recession, frozen credit markets, dividend cuts, earnings declines, eroding consumer spending, and more.

     But I disagree. The biggest challenge for investors has been staying engaged.

     Heck. Tracking your portfolio in a bull market is fun. And if you lose interest for a few months, chances are it didn't cost you a dime. But staying engaged in a bear market, can probably save you -- and possibly make you -- more money than you realize.

     It's far easier, and less time-consuming, than you think. In fact keeping it simple is what it's all about. You don't need CNBC's Jim Cramer screaming from your TV all day long. You don't need to do copious research and make complicated charts and graphs. In fact, just taking it one step at a time -- an hour or two each month -- is really all it takes.      

     1. Minimizing Your Losses: Setting Free Your Dogs

    
How many dogs do you have in your portfolio? Most investors are pretty good at picking an investment. They have good "buy-side" discipline. Companies are carefully researched and carefully weighed against their potential. But not every investment lives up to expectations. "Stuff" happens. A new competitor or technology comes on the scene. Economic conditions change. Whatever the reason, the prospects for the company have changed and it's time to let the investment go and move on to more profitable turf.

     But the very same investors who were so rational and unbiased when they picked the investment can't part with it. They don't want to take the loss. Or they don't want to let go of the idea of what the investment could have been. Before long, they're holding on to more dogs than a kennel. 

     Not every investment is a winner. Don't take it personally. Having a successful portfolio is as much about minimizing your losses as maximizing your gains.

     Do yourself a favor. This month, let just one of your dogs go. It won't take you long to pick; you already know in your heart of hearts which one it is. Trust me. It will be a liberating experience. 

     2. Keep it Simple: Just One Idea at a Time

    
Don't think you need find all the "cures" for your portfolio in one marathon session. Even the thought of it is overwhelming. You don't need to find 15 miracle investments for your portfolio at one time, any more than you need to deal with all your dogs at once. Sometimes all it takes is just one good idea to keep your whole portfolio operating in positive territory.
 
     A single good idea can come from anywhere. It could come from an investment analyst -- but keep your radar tuned when you listen to the financial "talking heads." After all, a lot of these analysts were the same ones predicting $250 a barrel oil.

     Good investment ideas can come from a news story on the radio or a human interest story in a magazine. Maybe a few of your friends mention a new hot product they're all buying.

     Sometimes a good idea is already "taken." For instance, a couple of months ago, I heard people were buying more guns. Gun stocks were already soaring on the news and everybody beat me to it. When that happens, take the idea to the next level. The stock prices of ammunition companies hadn't budged yet.

     My latest idea was inspired by a story about the British pound hitting a 25-year low against the dollar. I started wondering what companies would profit most by a recovering pound. Before I knew it, I found a great British company trading as an American Depository Receipt (ADR).
    
     Before the end of this month, try to come up with just one good idea.

     3. If You Can't Find What You Like, Buy What You Hate

    
Sometimes it's hard to find an idea you like in a bear market, especially surrounded by so much negative sentiment. So work with what you hate most.

     Do you still hate financial stocks and feel like the current run-up is unwarranted? How much do you hate the market overall? Or maybe you hate the idea that all this bailout and stimulus money could devalue the U.S. dollar? Right now, there is probably an investment specifically designed for what you hate the most. 

     Short and ultra short exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are as easy to buy as stocks and cheaper to own than a mutual fund. There's an ETF that is designed to profit every time the banking stocks tumble. Every day the S&P declines, you can make money on an ETF that shorts the index.

     As investors, we have so many more tools to deal with a bear market than in the past. The only thing we have to do is stay mentally engaged with the bear. But we can do it.

     Just get rid of one dog and just pick one great idea (or one you really, really hate) each month. And you'll be well on your way to preserving your sanity and taking control of your portfolio again.

Always Searching for the Next Great Idea...
 



-- Amy Calistri
Chief Investment Strategist -- Stock of the Month

StreetAuthority Investor Update


 

Worth Noting

China, the U.S. government's biggest creditor, increased its purchases of American securities in February just weeks before the country's officials questioned whether such investments were safe.

While China?s purchases slowed and most were in short-term Treasury bills, the country remained the largest foreign holder of Treasuries after its holdings rose 0.6 percent to $744.2 billion, according to a monthly report released in Washington.

-- Bloomberg


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