Important Updates for Investors
Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just
Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield
International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a
rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing
investments yielding up to 19.0%.
Government's Biofuel Timetable Could Spell +15,900% Growth
+15,900% growth might seem far-fetched... but it's not. In fact, it
is mandated by law. And I've identified the ONLY stock positioned to
capture this growth.
The
Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
Despite the U.S. national debt, there is a silver lining for income
investors. This massive spending, combined with movement out of U.S.
Treasuries, is going to take its toll on the dollar, and
international income investors could reap the rewards in the form of
higher dividends. |
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| Bull
Market |
What It Is:
The opposite of a bear market, a bull market is a period of several months or
years during which securities prices consistently rise. The term is usually used
in reference to the stock market, but it can describe specific sectors such as
real estate, bond, or foreign exchange.
The bull market of the 1990s is perhaps one of the most famous and longest bull
markets in history.
How It Works/Example:
Identifying and measuring bull markets is both art and science. One common
measure says that a bull market exists when at least 80% of all stock prices
rise over an extended period. Another measure says that a bull market exists if
market indices rise at least 15%. Of course, different market sectors may
experience bull markets at different times.
The causes and characteristics of bull markets vary, but most financial
theorists agree that economic cycles and investor sentiment both play a role in
the creation and momentum of bull markets. In general, a strong or strengthening
economy, indicated by high employment, high disposable income, and high business
profits usually ushers in a bull market. The existence of several new trading
highs for well-known companies also indicates a bull market is occurring. It is
important to note that government involvement affects bull markets. Changing the
federal funds rate or tax rates can encourage economic expansion or contraction.
Rising investor confidence also indicates a bull market, and it is perhaps more
powerful than any economic indicator. When investors believe something is going
to happen (a bull market, for example), they tend to take action (purchasing
shares in order to profit from expected price increases) that actually turn
expectations into reality. Although it is an difficult concept to quantify,
investor sentiment shows through in mathematical measurements such as the
put/call ratio, the advance/decline line, IPO activity, and the amount of
outstanding margin debt.
Regardless of their exact beginnings and ends, bull markets typically have four
phases. In the first phase, prices are low, investor sentiment is low, and
investors are pessimistic about future prices. In the second phase, stock prices
begin to increase, trading activity and corporate earnings increase, and economic indicators are above average. Investor sentiment also gets
more optimistic. In the third phase, market indexes and many securities reach
new trading highs, trading activity continues to increase, and dividend yields
reach historic lows. In the fourth and final phase, there is excessive IPO
activity, trading activity, and speculation. Stock P/E ratios are also at
historic highs. As investors take profits or react to bad news or negative
indicators, bull markets generally unravel.
Why It Matters:
Bull markets usually present a multitude of moneymaking opportunities for
investors because prices are generally rising across the board. But bull markets
don’t last forever, and they don’t always give advance notice of their
arrival, so the investor must know when to buy and when to sell to maximize his
or her profits. This means the investor must attempt to time the market,
or gauge when a bull market has begun and when it is ending.
Analysts spend thousands of hours trying to mathematically determine what will
trigger the next bull market and how long it will last. Technical analysis is
especially prevalent in this effort, although less sophisticated indicators such
as hemline fashions or the NFL division of the last Super Bowl winner also
provide fodder for such predictions.
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