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In today's fast-paced world, it's hard
to remember a time when we couldn't ring up an online purchase by simply typing
in our credit card number, or pay for a combo meal at a fast-food restaurant by
sliding a debit card.
However, not too long ago, credit cards were a rare luxury reserved primarily
for wealthy consumers. But the plastic revolution has changed all that, and the
industry continues to evolve.
It All Began . . .
Around the turn of the century, major hoteliers and department stores began
issuing paper charge cards to their most valued customers, who could then
present them in lieu of an up-front payment.
These early cards were a win-win deal for both consumers and merchants.
Customers enjoyed the perks associated with charging their purchases, and
storeowners quickly realized that establishing lines of credit eventually led to
a more loyal customer base.
In 1949, Diners Club introduced the first "general-purpose" charge
card. Within the Diners Club network, consumers could charge goods and services
at merchants nationwide. Not surprisingly, the success of that innovation
quickly attracted a number of competitors.
Within a decade, Bank of America launched the first credit card as we know it
today. Eventually, those operations spawned a separate entity that would soon
become known as Visa. Meanwhile, American Express was also busy rolling out a
card of its own in the late 1950s.
Encouraged by the success of Visa, a consortium of banks began issuing a rival
card in 1966 that grew into the now familiar MasterCard. Finally, two decades
later, Sears gave birth to the Discover card in 1986.
Thanks in part to deregulation and readily available financial information on
prospective cardholders, the industry has exploded over the past few decades.
Today, nearly three-fourths of all U.S. families carry a card from one or more
of the four leading networks: Visa, MasterCard, American Express, and Discover.
Slicing the Pie
The average American family holds around six credit cards, as well as a total
credit card balance in the neighborhood of $9,000 -- a figure that has spiked
+75% over the past decade. On an aggregate basis, the nation's consumer debt is
fast approaching the $2 trillion mark.
While those numbers are sobering from a personal finance perspective, they do
underscore one very pertinent fact: many of us have simply fallen in love with
our cards. For investors, this type of insatiable demand typically leads to
enormous profits for well-placed companies.
Of course, considering that there are at least five parties to any credit card
transaction -- the buyer, the bank that issued the buyer's card, the merchant,
the merchant's bank (known as the acquirer), and the card association -- many
different companies have their hands somewhere in the credit card pie.
Here's
how a typical transaction works:
A shopper charges $100 for a new vacuum cleaner at a local retailer. Assuming
the purchase is authorized, the issuing bank will send approximately $98 to the
card association (retaining an "interchange fee" of around 2%.)
The card association (Visa, MasterCard, etc.) will then send the $98 to the
acquiring bank, which will take a small cut of its own before depositing a net
of $97.50 in the merchant's account.
Merchants have accepted these
interchange fees, which generated $25 billion in revenues for issuing banks in
2004, as a cost of doing business. In fact, they often pass the added expense
onto consumers in the form of higher prices. As might be expected, though, they
are not exactly happy about the situation.
In fact, a group of leading merchants has filed a class action lawsuit against
Visa and MasterCard alleging price collusion. While this litigation is pending,
MasterCard has agreed to make its pricing structure more transparent by posting
the fees publicly on its web site.
As for the card associations, they don't exactly come out empty-handed. For
their efforts, they naturally collect a small transaction fee -- not to mention
authorization fees, currency conversion fees, etc.
The transaction fee is usually only a fraction of a percent, or maybe a few
pennies per purchase. However, when multiplied by millions of transactions per
day, all those pennies add up to billions of dollars in revenues over the course
of a year.
Cashing in
For investors looking to capitalize on the continued growth of the credit card
industry, there are several choices.
|
Major
Players in the Credit Card Industry |
| American Express (AXP) |
| MasterCard (MA) |
| Morgan Stanley* (MS) |
| *
Owner of the Discover network |
The most obvious segment would include
the firms that issue the cards and pocket billions in interest charges, late
fees, and other ancillary revenues. However, consolidation has put many of the
leading pure-play card issuers, including MBNA and Provident, in the hands of
giant financial institutions such as Bank of America and Washington Mutual. And
because these banking giants are involved in a variety of other business lines,
credit cards represent only a sliver of their total income.
Leading transaction processors like First Data (NYSE: FDC) or Total System
Services (NYSE: TSS) are also solid options. However, competition is cutthroat,
and a number of banks have brought some of their credit card operations
in-house. Furthermore, the top ten card issuers control 90% of the nation's
accounts, and that concentration could cause leading banks to exert more pricing
pressure over the processors.
When it comes to making a pure-play on the industry, the best options just might
be the companies whose names actually appear on the plastic.
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