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Taiwanese Telecom Outperforms the Market by +27% in Less than Six Months

Published: February 11, 2008

As editor of our Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, my focus is primarily on U.S. stocks -- but from time to time I will venture overseas in search of undervalued foreign companies with proven competitive advantages and promising long-term outlooks.

That was the case last September, when I scanned the vast ADR marketplace to find a handful of firms with rich 5%-plus dividend yields and deeply discounted share prices. It was that search that turned up Chunghwa Telecom (NYSE: CHT, $20.45), a former state-owned telecommunications services provider in Taiwan. Thanks to sweeping regulatory changes enacted a decade ago, privatization has allowed individual investors a piece of this highly profitable business.

Chunghwa is Taiwan's only integrated provider of all three major telecom services (fixed line, wireless and Internet). That lends itself to powerful economies of scale and gives the firm a natural competitive advantage when it comes to bundling these services -- and today it's a clear market leader in all three.

The firm controls a dominant 95%-plus share of Taiwan's fixed-line phone business and has built an established base of around 13 million traditional phone customers. The Taiwanese are also fond of their cell phones, with a nationwide wireless penetration rate of 90% -- among the highest in the world. And Chunghwa happens to be Taiwan's leading wireless provider, offering services to nearly 9 million users -- many of which have migrated to the more profitable third-generation (3G) mobile service. Finally, Chunghwa is also Taiwan's undisputed leader of broadband Internet and high-speed data services, and has now enrolled more than 4 million subscribers.

Combined, those services churn out roughly $2 billion per year in annual free cash flow, most of which is returned to shareholders in the form of dividends. At the time of my report, CHT shares were changing hands for just $17.50, but I calculated a true fair value of at least $20 per share, And the shares have since made up the difference, closing Friday just above my target price at $20.45 -- a solid gain of +17% in less than six months. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has dropped nearly -10% over the same period. In total, this means CHT has beaten the market by a sizeable +27%.

In this month's Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, I zero in on another established market leader trading at a sharp discount. The firm has already seen its earnings surge +350% over the past five years, and 2008 looks to be another banner year. Thanks to heavy infrastructure spending in emerging markets, the company can't keep pace with demand and currently has a $4 billion order backlog -- +65% more than this time last year. However, this recent market sell-off has left the shares with the potential to gain +45% before reaching their fair value.

To read my complete profile of this exciting firm -- available only to subscribers -- I invite you to join us at Half-Priced Stocks. To learn more, please visit this link.
 



Nathan Slaughter
StreetAuthority Staff Writer




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