This Stock-Ranking System Is Proven To Deliver Market-Beating Returns
Within a group of different stocks, mutual funds or any other investments, some will perform better than others. Relative strength (RS) recognizes those differences in performance. In short, it’s a way to rank investments from the strongest (best performers) to the weakest (poor performers).
As the name implies, relative strength ranks relative performance. It is important to remember that beating the market will give an investment a high relative strength rank, even though that can mean losing less than average in a bear market.
Long-term investors can think of the stock market as a marathon race. Marathon runners cover more than 26 miles. If given the chance to bet on the eventual winner, most people would bet on one of the front-runners. This makes sense, since there is little chance that someone three miles from the finish line at that point could be the winner. The front-runners have put in a strong performance and are likely to continue outperforming.
Stocks show a similar pattern of behavior — the strongest performers tend to continue performing well. High relative strength investments tend to show continued strength. Low relative strength investments, on the other hand, tend to continue underperforming.
How Traders Use Relative Strength
Traders often buy strong stocks and sell weak stocks. Relative strength is one of the best ways to do that.
Traders calculate relative strength as the rate of change or with a number of other indicators. It’s always calculated for a group of investments, comparing the performance of a particular investment to all others. This is different from the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which traders calculate for an individual security.
Some traders will only buy stocks that are performing better than the market. In the example below, relative strength is calculated using all publicly traded stocks over the past six months. The strongest stock has a rank of 100 and the weakest is 0.
Soda maker Monster Beverage Corp. (Nasdaq: MNST), formerly known as Hansen’s Natural, has been one of the biggest stock market winners in history. On of its strongest runs was between 2003 and 2011, where it gained more than 18,000%. Traders could have captured nearly all of the gains (avoiding sharp drawdowns) by only owning the stock when the relative strength rank was above 50.
Why Relative Strength Matters To Traders
A number of academic studies show that relative strength strategies deliver market-beating returns. Many successful strategies include relative strength as part of the selection process. Examples include the CAN SLIM methodology popularized by Investor’s Business Daily and the Timeliness Ranking System included in the Value Line Investment Survey.
Relative strength can be a complete trading strategy for professionals and individual traders alike. Individuals could actively manage their 401(k) accounts by calculating the six-month rate of change for each available investment once a month and investing in only the three highest ranked stocks. Over the long term, this could lead to market-beating results and a more financially secure retirement.
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