Is A Riskier Income Trade Worth The Extra Reward?
Selling puts in your investment account can be a tremendous strategy for generating reliable income.
One reason why is because, as we’ve explained before, you can take on less risk than more traditional income strategies. But this is only true if you execute the strategy properly.
As option sellers, one of the most important decisions is what types of securities to sell puts against. Specifically, some traders struggle to decide whether to sell puts against individual stocks or against broad indexes or ETFs.
To determine where you should put your capital to work, let’s consider the benefits and drawbacks of both these approaches.
Volatility and Diversification
One of the primary benefits of investing in an ETF is instant diversification.
However, keep in mind that not all ETFs are as diversified as you might think. For instance, the top three holdings might make up 25% of the fund. But, as a general rule, ETFs can help to smooth out the risk of individual company performance for investors.
From an academic standpoint, this risk is associated with volatility. Volatility can be measured in statistical terms. It has become industry practice for risk managers to look at volatility (along with other issues such as correlation) to measure the level of risk in individual portfolios. (There are problems with this approach, but that’s a discussion for another time.)
This measure of volatility is important to us as put sellers. That’s because option prices are heavily influenced by the level of volatility in the underlying stock or ETF. The higher the level of volatility, the higher the price of the individual option contract.
Now think about this pricing dynamic in relation to our put selling strategy for a moment. Higher volatility means more risk to investors. But it also means more option premium. And that, of course, is responsible for generating income in our portfolio.
Of course, a put-selling strategy is not immune to the volatility risks that individual investors face. This is because when we sell a put option, we are essentially guaranteeing that we will buy the underlying stock or ETF if it is below the strike price when the put option expires. So this means that we will be at risk if the ETF or individual stock continues to fall.
As with most investing strategies, the more volatility (or risk) you are willing to accept, the higher your expected returns. Traders who are willing to sell put options on individual stocks are more likely to receive higher income than an index or ETF. There are exceptions, but this is true most of the time.
Deciding Which Approach Is Best for You
To illustrate this point, let’s consider a practical scenario. Say we are looking at one-month put option contracts for SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA) compared with a widely-held Dow component like Chevron (NYSE: CVX).
We could run through the numbers involved with various trade scenarios, but that’s beside the point. It is important to look at the numbers within the context of risk, rather than simply looking at the raw return data.
In this example, if you sell puts on CVX, you are opening your account up to sevaral risks. CVX’s earnings could be lower than expected, oil prices may decline, or operational issues could cause the stock to trade lower.
All of those risks affect DIA as well since CVX is one of the components of the Dow. But those risks are muted because of the diversification from investing in an ETF. Depending on your risk tolerance, you may feel like the additional few percentage points are worthwhile and choose to sell the CVX puts.
On the other hand, you may determine that you are happy with the lower return from selling DIA puts because your risk is more diversified with this approach.
The key is understanding the variables for each trade. Make an informed determination rather than looking at expected rates of return in a vacuum.
If you struggle with choosing which stocks or ETFs you should be selling puts on, you may want to consider turning to our colleague Amber Hestla for help. She just recently released her groundbreaking Income Millionaire Project — which is still open for a limited time.
The goal of this program is simple: Show 1,000 regular investors how to generate $1 million in retirement income. Each. There’s never been a better time to try, and we have a handful of slots remaining…