The Simple, Proven Strategy That Leads To Long-Term Gains
Believe it or not, there’s a simple investment strategy that has never lost money in the stock market.
I’m not kidding: a six-decade-long study by Oppenheimer actually proves it.
This free stock market advice that I’m about to share is not flashy. It’s regularly ignored, and it’s often belittled by “active” fund managers (who coincidentally seem to underperform the market year after year).
The truth is, you don’t have to trade every day, every week, or even every year to beat the market. In fact, your odds for success actually increase the fewer trades you make and the longer you hold.
Let me explain…
Buy-and-Hold Leads To Better Returns
The proof comes from Oppenheimer, who looked at the S&P 500 going all the way back to 1950. Over that time, the S&P 500 has NEVER suffered a loss over a 20-year period.
The same can’t be said for investors who hold stocks for just a year or two. The research shows that when you hold stocks for a short period of time, your odds of losing money are much higher. And you can lose a boatload of money in a hurry. In fact, in its worst one-year period, the S&P 500 dropped 44.8%.
Just look at the chart, which is based on this research. From 1950 to 2010, on a rolling annual basis, the S&P 500 dropped 16 times over a one-year period going back to 1950. But it posted a loss zero times in any 20-year period.
Sadly, while all the evidence points to longer holding periods being better for your portfolio, most investors are doing the exact opposite. Investors once held stocks for an average of eight years in 1950 according to Ned Davis Research. Today, it’s just a matter of months.
You could choose to join the average investor in ignoring these facts, but the trend is clear. The longer you hold an investment, the better your chances of making money.
How To Find Stocks Worth Owning For The Long-Haul
Now, before I go on, I should note a few things.
You you can’t just buy any stock and expect to come out ahead. The market is littered with Enrons, WorldComs, even General Motors. Holding forever didn’t matter a lick with them.
I also realize that holding during periods of extreme market volatility is easier said than done. We only need to look back to the dot-com crash, the financial crisis, and more recently the Covid-19 selloff, to remember how tough it is to hold on when the world seems to be turning upside down.
The sad reality is that most of us simply aren’t built (phytologically) to hold a stock for 20 years. I constantly preach the value of the “hidden” disciplines that individual investors too often ignore. I’m talking about patience, allocation, and cutting your losers short and letting your winners ride.
It all sounds so stupidly simple. But the truth is most of us will never get to this level of zen-like patience with our holdings. There’s also the harrowing thought… What if we are holding an absolute dud in our portfolio that never does anything but lose money?
But what I want you to take away from what we’ve covered today is this…
Find a handful of companies that enjoy huge (and lasting) advantages over the competition. Find companies that pay their investors each and every year by dishing out fat dividends. And find companies buying back a substantial amount of their own stock.
These are the kinds of companies that make you money over the long haul – through good times and bad.
If you’re one of the lucky folks who find themselves sitting on a stock like this, congratulations! Chances are it’ll be a long-term winner (if it’s not already). The best course of action at this point is to simply hold tight and watch the returns grow year after year.
Warren Buffett has long said his favorite holding period is “forever,” and for good reason. A long-term, buy-and-hold stock strategy takes patience. But it’s simple and has been proven over long periods of time. So if you want to make money in the market, skip the day trading and focus on a timeless strategy that will help you sleep better at night and collect reliable returns over the long haul.
P.S. My research has led me to a little-known tech stock that’s involved in several massive tech trends: the Internet of Things, satellite technology, 5G, communication, the list goes on…
And the good news is that right now it’s completely unnoticed by the market. That makes it a perfect setup to make investors a lot of money in the coming months.