A Chinese Telecom Giant Poised for Further Growth

China Mobile (NYSE: CHL) is the largest wireless telecommunications provider in China with a roughly 70% market share. The company serves more than 440 million customers with wireless and wireless data services.

Catalyst(s): As noted earlier, China's mobile phone penetration is only around 40%, less than half the 85% to 120% penetration rates common in the western world. And Chinese mobile phone distribution is uneven -- in rural areas, less than a quarter of residents have mobile phones.

There are a few reasons to expect mobile penetration rates to grow. First, increasingly, rural consumers are moving to cities to take on higher paying manufacturing jobs; as consumers migrate to cities they're far more likely to buy mobile phones.

 

Even better, a large share of the Chinese government's economic stimulus package is directed at encouraging rural development; the government would like to bring rural incomes up to levels more in-line with what's prevalent in urban areas. This should help encourage more Chinese consumers in small cities and rural areas to buy mobile phones.

Finally, less than one-quarter of CHL's subscriber base is signed up for high-speed third generation (3G) mobile data services. CHL is well-placed to sell data and e-mail capability to its existing subscriber base.

Competitive Advantages: CHL's main advantage is the size and scope of its network. The company has a 70% market share in China's wireless industry and has a network that covers about 96% of the Chinese population. When new consumers look for a network they want the best possible coverage.

And CHL's quality network has also given it a leg-up in terms of launching ancillary services. Total wireless revenues surged by close to +25% year-over-year in the most recent quarter led by increased utilization of text messaging and multi-media (picture) messaging services.

Another advantage for CHL is that it has a small debt burden. That means the company has plenty of scope to invest in upgrading its network to handle new services.

Valuation and Outlook: China Mobile is China's dominant wireless carrier and the largest single wireless carrier in the world. Given its 70% market share of one of the most promising growth markets in the world one would expect CHL to trade at a premium to its growth rate.

But that's not the case -- the stock trades at less than 11 times earnings compared to an annualized growth rate of +16%.

Action to Take --> On top of all its growth opportunities, CHL also generates copious cash flows and offers a near 4% yield for investors.

Good investing!
 


Paul Tracy
Editor
StreetAuthority Market Advisor

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Disclosure: Paul Tracy does not own shares of CHL.

-- Paul Tracy

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Paul Tracy does not personally hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article.
StreetAuthority LLC does not hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article.
Tuesday, June 9, 2009
3:27 PM
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