The Ancient Trading Tool You Can Profit From Today…
Not long ago, we across an interesting find that related to the origin and history of options.
Of course, it offered no actionable trading advice. But it offered a rare insight and further proof into something we’ve been saying for years…
That when you “demystify” options and forget what you think you might know, they do not have to be especially complicated or risky.
In an academic research paper, the author traced the history of options trading all the way back to ancient Greece. He cited boat insurance, or known more formally as “bottomry loans,” as the first example of options contracts.
The Forgotten History Of Options
Greek mathematician and philosopher Thales of Miletus has been said to be one of the first option traders.
Bottomry loans were made to merchants and shipowners to finance the transportation of goods between different ports. Lenders would fund the voyage and, if the voyage was successful, the shipowner would repay the lender, with interest. If the ship or its cargo was lost, the money lent to the shipowner would be a 100% loss.
Bottomry loans weren’t true loans because the lender accepted 100% of the voyage’s risk. They weren’t equity either because the return of the loan was fixed and known when the two sides completed the transaction.
Technically, this is economically equivalent to an option written by the ship’s owner. If the ship returned, the option had value and paid out a fixed amount. If the ship was lost, the option writer (shipowner) kept the premium and the option was worthless.
This type of option has existed for centuries, although options in stocks are a more recent innovation. They date back to the Amsterdam exchange in the 1600s. A market for options in the Dutch East India Company developed, and these contracts spread to other markets.
The fact that these contracts existed means traders had to have some sort of pricing model. It looks like the first formal models were developed in the late 1800s. Amazingly, these models were actually similar to the ones we use today.
Contracts were simpler in the 1800s because they could only be exercised on the expiration date. In practice, modern-day contracts will only be exercised at expiration except in rare instances where it makes economic sense to exercise prior to expiration. However, pricing models we use today must account for the remote possibility of early exercise.
Traders in the 1800s used the average price changes over the recent past to price the option. This was a rough measure of a stock’s volatility. They assumed the future, short-term volatility would be similar to the historic volatility. Our current models use more sophisticated math, relying on variance and standard deviations rather than averages, but the basic idea is the same. We use data from the past to forecast the likely trend in the future.
Given the long history of options, we have often wondered why they aren’t more widely used by individual investors. It could be because of the math, which is complex but not insurmountable. After all, the math could be done in the nineteenth century, before computers or even digital calculators.
The point is that options have been around in some form or another for a long, long time. Options have proven they can adapt to changing markets. If they couldn’t adapt and continue to serve a need, they would no longer be traded.
The takeaway for you should be this… Don’t make the mistake of assuming that options only serve the needs of sophisticated traders and Wall Street gurus.
That’s exactly what they want you to think. The truth is that many individual investors and traders use options every day — and so can you. Whether your purpose is for speculation, hedging, income, or some combination of that, the reality is that you can make options as easy or as complicated as you wish.
On that note, if you really want to maximize your income from options, then you need to check this out…
Income expert Robert Rapier can show you how to squeeze up to 18x more income out of dividend stocks with just a few minutes of “work” each week.
Up, down, sideways… even in the face of rising interest rates… tech selloffs… overseas war… and anything else Mr. Market throws at you, Robert’s trades are income-generating machines. Click here for details.