Energy & Commodities

According to official data, the Chinese economy is cooling a bit, with 2012 growth projected to come in around 7% or 8% — a multi-year low.  Don’t you believe it.  Statistics provided by the Chinese government are strictly a form of propaganda, used to… Read More

By now, you’ve probably heard about the biggest story in energy. New drilling technologies in natural gas exploration and production have opened the floodgates to new supplies, creating all kinds of possibilities for consumers and investors. [See this article for an example of what I’m talking about.]  But this natural gas revolution has so far been a mixed blessing for producers, as natural gas prices have gone into a tail spin. From highs of $8 per million Btu (British thermal units) four years ago, natural gas prices at the wellhead have plummeted to a recent $2 per million Btu, the… Read More

By now, you’ve probably heard about the biggest story in energy. New drilling technologies in natural gas exploration and production have opened the floodgates to new supplies, creating all kinds of possibilities for consumers and investors. [See this article for an example of what I’m talking about.]  But this natural gas revolution has so far been a mixed blessing for producers, as natural gas prices have gone into a tail spin. From highs of $8 per million Btu (British thermal units) four years ago, natural gas prices at the wellhead have plummeted to a recent $2 per million Btu, the lowest point in more than a decade. As expected, major natural gas producers are feeling the pain. Well-known natural gas players such as Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK), for instance, have lost 50% of their share price in the past 12 months alone (although, to be fair, some of that has to do with bad press regarding revelations of some of management’s practices).  #-ad_banner-#The good news is that in the investment world, for every loser there is also a winner. So you should be thinking about buying shares of the dozens of other… Read More

A little more than 10 years ago, when the market was fixated on high-flying tech stocks like Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) and Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), a few savvy commodity investors were making a fortune on a certain industrial metal. During that time, orders for this metal were so strong, that all the mining production in the world couldn’t keep pace with demand…  To cover the shortfall, buyers had to dip into reserve stockpiles in Russia. All this drove prices for this metal skyward. Between January 2000 and February… Read More

A little more than 10 years ago, when the market was fixated on high-flying tech stocks like Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) and Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), a few savvy commodity investors were making a fortune on a certain industrial metal. During that time, orders for this metal were so strong, that all the mining production in the world couldn’t keep pace with demand…  To cover the shortfall, buyers had to dip into reserve stockpiles in Russia. All this drove prices for this metal skyward. Between January 2000 and February 2001, spot market prices surged 157% — from $430 an ounce to $1100 in a matter of months. Why do I bring this up? Because not much has changed in the past decade, and I’m seeing a similar situation play out in the market that could send this metal — palladium — soaring again. Here’s the story… #-ad_banner-#Palladium is an extremely important metal. In fact, I would say it’s indispensable for the global economy.  The metal has a multitude of uses, most notably in the dental,… Read More

Quite often in the stock market, the share price of a hot company can suddenly fall out of favor, causing investors to dump the stock. The trick is to find out whether the negative sentiment is in fact warranted. If not, then this oversold stock can represent a compelling buying opportunity. In the energy industry, sudden price changes in commodities can change the underlying economics of companies that operate in the space. When prices of oil, coal or natural gas are too low, exploration activities… Read More

Quite often in the stock market, the share price of a hot company can suddenly fall out of favor, causing investors to dump the stock. The trick is to find out whether the negative sentiment is in fact warranted. If not, then this oversold stock can represent a compelling buying opportunity. In the energy industry, sudden price changes in commodities can change the underlying economics of companies that operate in the space. When prices of oil, coal or natural gas are too low, exploration activities can become uneconomical. Alternatively, rapidly-rising prices can cause a frenzy for extracting as much supply out of the ground to quickly bring it to market. And lately, one commodity in particular perfectly fits this out-of-favor vs. buying opportunity scenario: natural gas, whose prices have plummeted by more than 50% in recent months. To put things into perspective, a little more than a year ago, gas prices hovered closer to $5 per million British thermal units (BTUs) and touched below $2 BTUs just a few weeks ago. Seeing… Read More