I got to know one company on my current watch list very well one summer, while working in the mail room of my father’s law firm. This was the mid 1980s. E-mail wasn’t even a Jetson’s fantasy. The computers that were around at the time were as big as a… Read More
Results
This has been quite a winter. From Arab states falling to Twitter revolutions, to U.S. states finally owning up to their own fiscal shortfalls, to natural disasters in New Zealand, Australia and now Japan, stock markets around the world have been swinging up and down in manic… Read More
As impressive as the stock market looked when it is was rising ever higher in 2009 and 2010, recent trading action has been even more impressive. Sure, the S&P 500 has gone nowhere for the past six weeks, but it has hung in there despite a series of shocks that… Read More
When oil prices surged through 2007 and into 2008, many airlines ran for the hills, taking many planes out of service, cancelling orders for new planes and gearing up to conserve cash in case oil prices failed to fall back down. Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA), the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer,… Read More
After an extended period of 50%-plus annual growth, China recently surpassed the United States as the largest car market in the world. This is just the tip of the iceberg, as only 2% of the Chinese population owns cars. In other words, the market has vast potential to grow significantly… Read More
Virtually every blue-chip company has been focusing on a key issue for the past two years: Costs. Trimming expenses wherever possible was an absolute necessity during the scariest phases of the economic downturn. Those cost cuts, in turn, powered a remarkable expansion in profit margins and enabled many companies… Read More
In the 1920s, about 40% of the U.S. labor force worked on farms. Today, less than 2% of U.S. workers are employed in agriculture. The United States increasingly relies on imported agricultural goods for any number of products. Recently, inclement weather across the globe has caused a… Read More
With each passing week, there is a little more progress in Washington as a bi-partisan group of legislators seeks to find a middle ground solution to our fiscal morass. Just this week, Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and Peter Peterson, a retired billionaire who is spending a chunk of his fortune… Read More
Last week, I mentioned the S&P Dividend Aristocrats list as one of my favorite starting points for researching income stocks. To make this list, companies must have increased dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. It is mostly U.S. companies that make up the… Read More
The era of very low inflation seems to be coming to an end. Food prices started to perk up in 2010, oil prices are on the rise now and, before long, a wide range of companies may need to push up their prices to account for their own rising costs. This can end in one of two ways: with higher — but still manageable — inflation, or it could trigger a vicious cycle of rising inflation expectations that create even greater inflationary pressures. It’s not just about food, oil… Read More
The era of very low inflation seems to be coming to an end. Food prices started to perk up in 2010, oil prices are on the rise now and, before long, a wide range of companies may need to push up their prices to account for their own rising costs. This can end in one of two ways: with higher — but still manageable — inflation, or it could trigger a vicious cycle of rising inflation expectations that create even greater inflationary pressures. It’s not just about food, oil and other raw materials, either. There’s a also a macro-economic concern: if the United States starts to struggle to find buyers for its debt, it will need to offer far higher bond yields, the dollar would come under pressure and imports into the U.S. would be subject to major inflation pressures. Right now, this doomsday scenario is no sure thing. And it would take several years of pressure to really put inflation on the boil. But you need to start thinking about it now, gradually adjusting your investment exposure as any… Read More