Everything is pointing toward higher energy prices in the next several years. First, there’s supply and demand. Worldwide demand for energy is increasing. In fact, the Outlook for Energy estimates that global demand for energy will soar +35% from 2005 to 2030. The increase… Read More

The ranks of “super-investors” are few, highlighted by the likes of Warren Buffett, George Soros and Carl Icahn. Investors like to track their every move. Smart investors should also watch the moves of David Einhorn, who runs Greenlight Capital. He started with just $1 million in 1996,… Read More

A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an article about India’s vast potential for both economic development and profit for investors. [“Read why I think India’s a better long-term investment than China”] In that article, I mentioned a few of the standard, well-known Indian… Read More

Imagine hearing this from your financial advisor: “I’ve got a great stock for you. It’s down -20%, the company lost $7 billion this year, and its reputation stinks.” You’d probably get up and walk out the door, right? But what if, just before you… Read More

When money managers buy bonds offered by state and local governments, they gladly accept the tax-free interest payments that come with them. But they’re no fools. They know they can lose their investment if a state or local government goes into default. [See: “12 States in Financial Distress”] So these… Read More

Since the financial crisis in 2008, corporate executives have taken a cautious approach to making big decisions. This has been especially the case with mergers & acquisitions (M&A). But according to a recent survey from Thomson Reuters and Freeman (a consulting firm), it looks like 2011 is… Read More

I’ve always had a contrarian streak. Conventional wisdom is more a jumping off point for me than it is an anchor for my investment decisions. And I’ve found it usually pays off handsomely to follow my own research rather than… Read More

Pity the average investor. They tend to jump into and out of the stock market at precisely the wrong times. In late August, I looked at the weekly investor sentiment poll conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and noted that most investors feared a big market tumble. [Read that article here] Historically speaking, you want to start buying stocks when most individual investors are shunning them. And that has once again proven to be the case. Since that August swoon, the S&P 500 has risen +14%. And like clockwork, that impressive performance has turned… Read More

Pity the average investor. They tend to jump into and out of the stock market at precisely the wrong times. In late August, I looked at the weekly investor sentiment poll conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and noted that most investors feared a big market tumble. [Read that article here] Historically speaking, you want to start buying stocks when most individual investors are shunning them. And that has once again proven to be the case. Since that August swoon, the S&P 500 has risen +14%. And like clockwork, that impressive performance has turned individual investors from bears to bulls. In the week ending November 10th, 57.6% of retail investors were bullish, according to the latest AAII poll. That’s up +9.3 percentage points from the prior week, and the most bullish reading since January 2007. So if bearish sentiment is always good for stocks, is bullish sentiment always bad for stocks? I pored over 25 years’ worth of data to gauge the market’s subsequent returns every time investors were more than 55% bullish. The results are mixed… An unusual spike… Read More

The initial public offering (IPO) market continues to heat up with deals coming this week for GM (NYSE: GM), Booz Allen (NYSE: BAH), Caesars Entertainment (NYSE: CZR) and a half dozen other firms. The flurry of deals puts us on track for the most robust quarter for IPOs in more than two years. And looking at the pipeline of new deal registrations, the first quarter of 2011 may be even hotter. I recently looked at a strategy that uses analyst research to find stocks about to pop. [See: “The Secret… Read More

The initial public offering (IPO) market continues to heat up with deals coming this week for GM (NYSE: GM), Booz Allen (NYSE: BAH), Caesars Entertainment (NYSE: CZR) and a half dozen other firms. The flurry of deals puts us on track for the most robust quarter for IPOs in more than two years. And looking at the pipeline of new deal registrations, the first quarter of 2011 may be even hotter. I recently looked at a strategy that uses analyst research to find stocks about to pop. [See: “The Secret Way to Play IPOs”] Yet that’s not the only way to look for upside among recent new deals. You can also scan lists for “broken IPOs,” which are firms that have been public for a short while and are drifting lower while investors focus on more established companies. Last month, I took a look at top-performing IPOs, as I wrote back then, “many new IPOs take time to find their sea legs and only take off well after their debuts. In fact, every single stock [mentioned in that piece] came out of the gate… Read More

The standard healthcare pitch for investing in healthcare stocks contains a number of standard components. Among them are favorable demographics due to an aging global population and the favorable impacts of recent U.S. industry legislation that adds millions of patients into the system. These are definite positives, but there are… Read More