With each passing week, there is a little more progress in Washington as a bi-partisan group of legislators seeks to find a middle ground solution to our fiscal morass. Just this week, Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and Peter Peterson, a retired billionaire who is spending a chunk of his fortune… Read More
Investing Basics
The era of very low inflation seems to be coming to an end. Food prices started to perk up in 2010, oil prices are on the rise now and, before long, a wide range of companies may need to push up their prices to account for their own rising costs. This can end in one of two ways: with higher — but still manageable — inflation, or it could trigger a vicious cycle of rising inflation expectations that create even greater inflationary pressures. It’s not just about food, oil… Read More
The era of very low inflation seems to be coming to an end. Food prices started to perk up in 2010, oil prices are on the rise now and, before long, a wide range of companies may need to push up their prices to account for their own rising costs. This can end in one of two ways: with higher — but still manageable — inflation, or it could trigger a vicious cycle of rising inflation expectations that create even greater inflationary pressures. It’s not just about food, oil and other raw materials, either. There’s a also a macro-economic concern: if the United States starts to struggle to find buyers for its debt, it will need to offer far higher bond yields, the dollar would come under pressure and imports into the U.S. would be subject to major inflation pressures. Right now, this doomsday scenario is no sure thing. And it would take several years of pressure to really put inflation on the boil. But you need to start thinking about it now, gradually adjusting your investment exposure as any… Read More
I spent a number of years as a freelance writer. And I have to admit, there were some benefits in being my own boss. I definitely prefer a pair of jeans to a pair of pantyhose. Also, slipping out to the grocery store during the day cut… Read More
The acquisition of wealth is paramount to our financial futures. Most Americans have historically depended on home ownership for accumulation of wealth, the recent crisis notwithstanding. But most people don’t realize that there’s a better way. One of the greatest… Read More
My dad worked all the time when I was a kid. But early on Saturday mornings, he’d wake me while it was still dark and take me to the office with him. And about once a month, we’d slip away to the farm where he grew up… Read More
The stock market has seen plenty of ups and downs in the past 25 years. Through it all, hedge fund Baupost Group’s Seth Klarman has managed to stay on the right side of the ledger, racking up an average annual gain of about 20%. Read More
Working for StreetAuthority, I do a lot of different things. In the course of a day, I may be writing an article… discussing potential picks with our staff… researching the next investing hotspot… even going over Stock of the Month article ideas with my colleagues. Read More
I look forward to every earnings season. It’s a time when companies on my watch list may stumble, placing them squarely into value territory. As long as the long-term investment thesis is intact, you’ve got a rare chance to step in when shares are 20%, 30% or even… Read More
Five weeks into 2011, and investors are looking at their first bona fide bubble of 2011. All that money sloshing around global markets, led by the Federal Reserve’s massive easing policy, was bound to start igniting various speculative asset classes. Gold surely looked frothy in 2010, and in 2011, it’s copper that’s looking bubble-icious. You have to take a 15-year look at copper prices to understand just how crazy the current market looks. For a decade up until 2005, copper usually traded for $75 to $100 a pound. That price reflected a nice equilibrium… Read More
Five weeks into 2011, and investors are looking at their first bona fide bubble of 2011. All that money sloshing around global markets, led by the Federal Reserve’s massive easing policy, was bound to start igniting various speculative asset classes. Gold surely looked frothy in 2010, and in 2011, it’s copper that’s looking bubble-icious. You have to take a 15-year look at copper prices to understand just how crazy the current market looks. For a decade up until 2005, copper usually traded for $75 to $100 a pound. That price reflected a nice equilibrium between supply and demand. It was also a period of steadily declining output of copper, as second-tier and third-tier mines were hard-pressed to make money. China changed the whole dynamic. As its economy started to take off during the past decade, demand for copper, which is used in many industrial and construction applications, soared, pushing prices up above the $300 mark in 2006, 2007 and 2008. Although copper prices eventually cooled, China learned its lesson. The next time copper prices took off, China would have ample supplies on hand to draw upon… Read More
Another day, another gain. That’s been the story for the S&P 500 lately, which has rallied higher in 12 of the last 15 trading sessions since January 20. As they say, “this bull has legs.” A rising market is surely enjoyable, but the higher it moves, the greater the chance that profit-taking will be just around the corner. That may happen when market strategists begin to talk about stocks becoming expensive when measured by traditional metrics. So here are four items I watch to see if the bull can keep running… 1. Money pouring… Read More
Another day, another gain. That’s been the story for the S&P 500 lately, which has rallied higher in 12 of the last 15 trading sessions since January 20. As they say, “this bull has legs.” A rising market is surely enjoyable, but the higher it moves, the greater the chance that profit-taking will be just around the corner. That may happen when market strategists begin to talk about stocks becoming expensive when measured by traditional metrics. So here are four items I watch to see if the bull can keep running… 1. Money pouring into domestic stock funds — POSITIVE The direction of the stock market is simply a function of supply and demand. When fund managers are given more money to work with, they put it into stocks, pushing share prices up. And they got plenty of firepower last quarter, bringing $45.5 billion, according to Lipper Fund Services. (90% of that went to actively-managed funds and the rest went to exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.) That was more than funds took in for the first three quarters of 2010. And the spigot keeps flowing. In the past two weeks (ended… Read More